No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.2%
- Current value
- $484.11
- Potential payout
- $3.98K
- Potential profit
- $3.5K
- Multiplier
- 8.23x
- User PnL
- -$346.64
Polymarket Trader
snowstorm3842
0x0670723fc6335103c24fceb456dfdf686fc59b51
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $783.21
- Realized PnL
- $3.59K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 19
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.2%
- Current value
- $48.19
- Potential payout
- $1.53K
- Potential profit
- $1.48K
- Multiplier
- 31.75x
- User PnL
- -$2.81
Yes position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $46.01
- Potential payout
- $317.31
- Potential profit
- $271.3
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- $1.01
No position
Cuban regime falls in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $103.21
- Potential payout
- $128.21
- Potential profit
- $25
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $3.21
No position
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 49%
- Current value
- $61.35
- Potential payout
- $125.21
- Potential profit
- $63.86
- Multiplier
- 2.04x
- User PnL
- $6.35
No position
UFC: Khamzat Chimaev to Land 1st Minute Takedown?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $96.77
- Potential profit
- $96.77
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 3%
- Current value
- $2.27
- Potential payout
- $76.92
- Potential profit
- $74.65
- Multiplier
- 33.90x
- User PnL
- -$7.73
Yes position
Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.9%
- Current value
- $11.53
- Potential payout
- $55.15
- Potential profit
- $43.63
- Multiplier
- 4.78x
- User PnL
- $7.53
No position
Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $6.2
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $33.8
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 25%
- Current value
- $5.89
- Potential payout
- $23.59
- Potential profit
- $17.7
- Multiplier
- 4.01x
- User PnL
- $3.39
Yes position
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.22
- Potential profit
- $22.22
- User PnL
- -$2
Raptors position
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Raptors vs. Cavaliers
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $21.61
- Potential profit
- $21.61
- User PnL
- -$4.88
Yes position
Chud the Builder convicted of attempted murder?
Ends Jul 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $3.7
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $16.3
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- $0.7
No position
Will Vance shake hands with an Iranian official by June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $9.44
- Potential payout
- $10.21
- Potential profit
- $0.77
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $6.89
Yes position
Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12%
- Current value
- $0.8
- Potential payout
- $6.67
- Potential profit
- $5.87
- Multiplier
- 8.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.2
Khamzat Chimaev position
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$4.1
Under position
Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 211.5
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.17
- Potential profit
- $4.17
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $0.52
- Potential payout
- $3.85
- Potential profit
- $3.33
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$0.48
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.52
- Potential profit
- $1.52
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 32.2%
- Multiplier
- 3.11x
- User PnL
- $3.09K
No position
Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 61.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.63x
- User PnL
- $172
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $68.07
Under position
Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 214.5
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64.99
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60.41
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.48
Under position
Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 213.5
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $19.12
No position
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $15.72
Under position
Spurs vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 218.5
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.43
Yes position
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.3
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.41
No position
Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.77
Pistons position
Spread: Pistons (-8.5)
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.71
No position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.72
Yes position
UFC: Strickland and Chimaev to Touch Gloves?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.16
No position
Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.74
Yes position
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.4
Over position
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 230.5
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.2
No position
Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.06
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 38%
- Multiplier
- 2.63x
- User PnL
- $2.55
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.07
Under position
Lakers vs. Rockets: O/U 206.5
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.47
Yes position
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-04-21?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.35
Yes position
Putin meets with Iranian officials by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.21
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No 33.6% 135.87 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No 33.6% 407.61 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?No 18% 15 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?No 93.2% 287.76 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?No 13.7% 1,003.55 shares
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?Yes 3.7% 459.46 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?No 8.7% 689.66 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?No 8.7% 1,150.23 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?No 69.5% 287.77 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No 18.4% 543.48 shares
- Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by June 30?Yes 9.9% 30.15 shares
- Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by June 30?Yes 4% 25 shares