Yes position
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after May 2025 meeting?
Ends May 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50K
- Potential profit
- $50K
- User PnL
- -$200
Polymarket Trader
goaliman12
0x06730ab1e96c6a28f2d31d0159918aef31b32e81
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $805.34
- Realized PnL
- -$2.71K
- Win rate
- 33.3%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US strike on Colombia by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.99K
- Potential profit
- $16.99K
- User PnL
- -$780.29
Yes position
Iran nuclear test before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $805.34
- Potential payout
- $10.74K
- Potential profit
- $9.93K
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$984.87
Yes position
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$80
Yes position
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting?
Ends Jul 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.13K
- Potential profit
- $6.13K
- User PnL
- -$122.58
Yes position
US strike on Cuba by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.34K
- Potential profit
- $5.34K
- User PnL
- -$380.82
Yes position
Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be between 0% and -1%?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$80
No position
Will reconciliation bill be passed by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$250
Yes position
Will annual inflation increase by 2.4% in June?
Ends Jul 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$210
Yes position
Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be between -1% and -2%?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.58K
- Potential profit
- $4.58K
- User PnL
- -$32.07
Yes position
Will Maduro's rule survive a US military engagement?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.32K
- Potential profit
- $4.32K
- User PnL
- -$378.98
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.34K
- Potential profit
- $2.34K
- User PnL
- -$397.73
No position
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.34K
- Potential profit
- $2.34K
- User PnL
- -$408.99
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.3K
- Potential profit
- $2.3K
- User PnL
- -$93.29
Yes position
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 2?
Ends Nov 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.18K
- Potential profit
- $2.18K
- User PnL
- -$369.8
Yes position
Another US strike on Venezuela on January 8?
Ends Jan 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$80
Yes position
Another US strike on Venezuela on January 10?
Ends Jan 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$80
No position
Will reconciliation bill be passed by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$360
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.84K
- Potential profit
- $1.84K
- User PnL
- -$344
Yes position
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 7?
Ends Nov 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.62K
- Potential profit
- $1.62K
- User PnL
- -$584.58
Yes position
Another US strike on Venezuela on January 11?
Ends Jan 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.15K
- Potential profit
- $1.15K
- User PnL
- -$46.52
Ohio State position
Spread: Ohio State (-4.5)
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.13K
- Potential profit
- $1.13K
- User PnL
- -$543.26
Yes position
US strike on Mexico by January 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.11K
- Potential profit
- $1.11K
- User PnL
- -$99.9
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $870.13
- Potential profit
- $870.13
- User PnL
- -$292.66
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Matt Gaetz confirmed as Attorney General?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.29K
No position
Pete Hegseth confirmed as Secretary of Defense?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $492.39
No position
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
Ends Apr 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $423.29
Commanders position
Bears vs. Commanders
Ends Oct 27, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $76.21
No position
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.03
Yes position
Will Trump say "American dream" 3 or more times during Michigan rally on October 25?
Ends Oct 25, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28
No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $17.8
No position
US strike on Syria by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.99
Yes position
Will Trump say "Ford" during Michigan rally on October 25?
Ends Oct 25, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.6
Yes position
Another US strike on Venezuela on January 9?
Ends Jan 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$78
Yes position
Another US strike on Venezuela on January 12?
Ends Jan 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$80.88
Yes position
Will Trump say "border" 30 or more times during Michigan rally on October 25?
Ends Oct 25, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$88.33
Yes position
Will a candidate from another party win Nebraska Special Senate Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$95.35
Yes position
Another US strike on Venezuela by January 10?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$118.19
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 November meeting?
Ends Nov 7, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$165.3
Yes position
Will Trump say "border" 25 or more times during Michigan rally on October 25?
Ends Oct 25, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$213.82
Yes position
Will a Republican win the popular vote and a Democrat win the Presidency?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$245.63
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$500
Yes position
2024 Balance of Power: R Prez, D Senate, D House
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$501.64
Yes position
2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, D Senate, R House
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$509.63
Yes position
Will a Democrat win Nebraska Special Senate Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$535.2
Yes position
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Multiplier
- 142.86x
- User PnL
- -$556.06
Yes position
2024 Balance of Power: R Prez, D Senate, R House
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$561.69
Yes position
2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, R Senate, R House
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$831.06
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran nuclear test before 2027?Yes 19% 3,456.26 shares
- Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?Yes 49% 225.88 shares
- Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?Yes 48% 205 shares
- Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?Yes 47% 40 shares
- Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?Yes 46% 165 shares
- Iran nuclear test before 2027?Yes 14% 2,500 shares
- Iran nuclear test before 2027?Yes 13% 941.51 shares
- US strike on Cuba by March 31?Yes 7.4% 1,780.47 shares
- US strike on Cuba by March 31?Yes 8% 3,012.88 shares
- US strike on Cuba by March 31?Yes 7% 622.09 shares
- US strike on Cuba by March 31?Yes 6% 2,086.93 shares
- Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30?Yes 2.7% 5,358.94 shares