Yes position
Will any other Republican Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $400K
- Potential profit
- $400K
- User PnL
- -$2K
Polymarket Trader
jd862
0x0677445aca95c5422717a87ff99805e06f581477
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $52.36K
- Win rate
- 33.3%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 9
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $150K
- Potential profit
- $150K
- User PnL
- -$150
No position
Harris-Walz Democratic ticket on election day?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $104.6K
- Potential profit
- $104.6K
- User PnL
- -$4.42K
Yes position
Biden resigns from presidency by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $102.51K
- Potential profit
- $102.51K
- User PnL
- -$1.4K
No position
Will Anthony Joshua win his boxing match against Jake Paul?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100.42K
- Potential profit
- $100.42K
- User PnL
- -$12.05K
Yes position
Will Biden resign before the election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $90.67K
- Potential profit
- $90.67K
- User PnL
- -$6.56K
Yes position
Will Michelle Obama win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $34.59K
- Potential profit
- $34.59K
- User PnL
- -$344.97
Yes position
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.5K
- Potential profit
- $13.5K
- User PnL
- -$2.43K
Yes position
Will Taylor Swift attend the DNC?
Ends Aug 22, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.68K
- Potential profit
- $5.68K
- User PnL
- -$340.77
Yes position
Will Jake Paul vs. Mike Tyson have no official winner?
Ends Jul 20, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.75K
- Potential profit
- $2.75K
- User PnL
- -$220
Yes position
Will Hillary Clinton say "Sexist" at DNC speech?
Ends Aug 19, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $598.12
- Potential profit
- $598.12
- User PnL
- -$100
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Ends Jun 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.85K
Yes position
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 35.1%
- Multiplier
- 2.85x
- User PnL
- $12.43K
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.2%
- Multiplier
- 7.60x
- User PnL
- $5.91K
Yes position
Will Hillary Clinton win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$173.72
No position
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
Ends Sep 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$292.91
Yes position
Will George Bush speak at the DNC?
Ends Aug 22, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$894.8
Yes position
Zohran Mamdani gets the most first-choice votes in the 2025 New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Ends Jun 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.04K
Yes position
Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
Ends Aug 19, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.24K
Yes position
Will Hillary Clinton win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
Ends Aug 19, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.18K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 29.7% 4,528.44 shares
- Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 33.3% 500 shares
- Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 32.7% 1,000 shares
- Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 32.9% 1,000 shares
- Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 33.7% 500 shares
- Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 33.8% 2,000 shares
- Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 34.4% 1,000 shares
- Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 33.8% 5,000 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 13% 75,000 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 13.1% 5,000 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 13.2% 10,000 shares
- Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 29.6% 5,008.84 shares