Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $358.97
- Potential profit
- $358.97
- User PnL
- -$2
Polymarket Trader
Manbat716
0x06807c2ce526b3dfc353684b30bb592150017ff8
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $42.21
- Realized PnL
- -$20.47
- Win rate
- 34.8%
- Open positions
- 21
- Closed positions
- 23
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $137.18
- Potential profit
- $137.18
- User PnL
- -$0.96
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $56.51
- Potential profit
- $56.51
- User PnL
- -$0.96
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.03
- Potential payout
- $55.56
- Potential profit
- $55.53
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.97
Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $18.38
- Potential payout
- $43.26
- Potential profit
- $24.87
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- -$1.62
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.02
- Potential payout
- $35.71
- Potential profit
- $35.7
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.98
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.4%
- Current value
- $6.01
- Potential payout
- $34.48
- Potential profit
- $28.47
- Multiplier
- 5.73x
- User PnL
- $5.01
Yes position
Netanyahu out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.05
- Potential payout
- $33.33
- Potential profit
- $33.28
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$4.95
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $29.27
- Potential profit
- $29.27
- User PnL
- -$2.89
Yes position
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 29.7%
- Current value
- $7.92
- Potential payout
- $26.67
- Potential profit
- $18.75
- Multiplier
- 3.37x
- User PnL
- -$2.08
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.02
- Potential payout
- $19.84
- Potential profit
- $19.82
- Multiplier
- 1000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.98
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.03
- Potential payout
- $16.29
- Potential profit
- $16.26
- Multiplier
- 500.00x
- User PnL
- -$6.97
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.02
- Potential payout
- $12.5
- Potential profit
- $12.48
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$4.98
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $9.45
- Potential payout
- $9.54
- Potential profit
- $0.09
- User PnL
- $3.45
Yes position
Will Israel strike 6 countries in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.8%
- Current value
- $0.26
- Potential payout
- $9.39
- Potential profit
- $9.13
- Multiplier
- 35.71x
- User PnL
- -$1.74
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.49
- Potential profit
- $6.49
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4
- Potential profit
- $4
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $3.53
- Potential profit
- $3.53
- Multiplier
- 500.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.99
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.03
- Potential profit
- $3.03
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $2.22
- Potential profit
- $2.22
- Multiplier
- 333.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.99
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.36
No position
S&P 500 all time high by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.13
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.65
Yes position
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $655 Week of April 6 2026?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.61
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.05
Yes position
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 54.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.84x
- User PnL
- $1.82
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.57
No position
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.22
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.38
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-32 House seat?
Ends Nov 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 24.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.08x
- User PnL
- -$0.49
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Israel strike 2 countries in March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Israel strike 3 countries in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.01
Yes position
Netanyahu out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will Russia capture Rodynske by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Pam Bondi out as Attorney General by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$11
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?Yes 2.8% 35.71 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?Yes 28.3% 3.53 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?Yes 33% 3.03 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?Yes 45% 2.22 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?Yes 22% 4.55 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?Yes 7% 14.29 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?Yes 1.8% 55.56 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?Yes 0.3% 333.33 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 66% 7.58 shares
- Will Israel strike 6 countries in 2026?Yes 21.3% 9.39 shares
- Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?Yes 26.1% 42.94 shares
- Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?Yes 37.5% 26.67 shares