Polymarket Trader

Melabets

0x06915253e7e003fb4fcc19af77afbaef79971b9d

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $217.21
Realized PnL: $5.1
Win rate: 40%
Open positions: 17
Closed positions: 5
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 7%
Current value: $194.52
Potential payout: $2.76K
Potential profit: $2.57K
Multiplier: 14.20x
User PnL: -$210.85

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $351.51
Potential profit: $351.51
User PnL: -$36.86

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $2.44
Potential payout: $244.02
Potential profit: $241.58
Multiplier: 100.00x
User PnL: -$3.53

Yes position

Odds Trump acquires Greenland before 2027 hit 30% by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $188.89
Potential profit: $188.89
User PnL: -$6.8

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 be released on June 28, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.73
Potential payout: $182.48
Potential profit: $181.75
Multiplier: 250.00x
User PnL: -$1.27

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $166.67
Potential profit: $166.67
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 10.8%
Current value: $16.14
Potential payout: $150.15
Potential profit: $134.01
Multiplier: 9.30x
User PnL: $14.14

Yes position

Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $90.91
Potential profit: $90.91
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $90.75
Potential profit: $90.75
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 be released on June 27, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $2.13
Potential payout: $87.11
Potential profit: $84.98
Multiplier: 40.82x
User PnL: $1.13

Yes position

Epstein or Maxwell confirmed Mossad operatives by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.26
Potential payout: $86.79
Potential profit: $86.52
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: -$6.24

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 28, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.43
Potential payout: $66.45
Potential profit: $66.02
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$0.57

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 21, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $0.55
Potential payout: $52.63
Potential profit: $52.08
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$0.45

Yes position

Will Google have the best AI model for coding on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $33.33
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.23
Potential profit: $21.23
User PnL: -$10

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Google (GOOGL) close above $330 end of January?

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.07

Yes position

Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: $0.1

Yes position

Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: -$0.09

Yes position

Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.9%
Multiplier: 25.64x
User PnL: -$0.39

Yes position

NATO dissolves before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.2%
Multiplier: 24.10x
User PnL: -$0.59

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

GPT-5.6 released by June 23, 2026?

Yes 2.4% 244.02 shares
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 31, 2026?

Yes 2.1% 48.04 shares
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 21, 2026?

Yes 1.9% 52.63 shares
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 28, 2026?

Yes 1.5% 66.45 shares
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 31, 2026?

Yes 1% 102.11 shares
Will GPT-5.6 be released on June 27, 2026?

Yes 1.1% 87.11 shares
Will GPT-5.6 be released on June 28, 2026?

Yes 1.1% 182.48 shares
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?

Yes 63% 9.37 shares
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?

Yes 13.6% 415.94 shares
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?

Yes 14.9% 2,347.13 shares
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?

Yes 64% 9.38 shares
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?

Yes 10.4% 49.04 shares