Yes position
Will any AI model reach 1550 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 45%
- Current value
- $123.67
- Potential payout
- $274.82
- Potential profit
- $151.15
- Multiplier
- 2.22x
- User PnL
- $38.67
Polymarket Trader
0x069e...863c
0x069e6e17860a1ca21bb3f899ce9986780cf5863c
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $229.65
- Realized PnL
- $50.81
- Win rate
- 79.2%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $25.83
- Potential payout
- $166.67
- Potential profit
- $140.83
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$4.17
Yes position
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $19.41
- Potential payout
- $117.65
- Potential profit
- $98.24
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.59
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $18.57
- Potential payout
- $95.24
- Potential profit
- $76.67
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- -$1.43
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.1%
- Current value
- $15.05
- Potential payout
- $93.75
- Potential profit
- $78.7
- Multiplier
- 6.23x
- User PnL
- $0.05
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 32.1%
- Current value
- $15.02
- Potential payout
- $46.88
- Potential profit
- $31.85
- Multiplier
- 3.12x
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.1%
- Current value
- $4.99
- Potential payout
- $24.88
- Potential profit
- $19.89
- Multiplier
- 4.99x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $5.47
- Potential payout
- $6.25
- Potential profit
- $0.78
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $0.47
No position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 66.5%
- Current value
- $1.64
- Potential payout
- $2.46
- Potential profit
- $0.83
- Multiplier
- 1.50x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.29
Timberwolves position
Spurs vs. Timberwolves
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.89
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.1%
- Multiplier
- 6.64x
- User PnL
- $5.57
Yes position
Will Israel strike 3 countries in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.64
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.08
No position
Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.32
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $98,000 December 29-January 4?
Ends Jan 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.59
No position
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.58
No position
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- $2.48
No position
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.2
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $2
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.75
Knicks position
Spurs vs. Knicks
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.67
No position
Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $1.36
No position
Ledger IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $1.12
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.63
No position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.35
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $0.24
No position
Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $0.06
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$0.29
No position
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.35
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 2?
Ends Jan 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.33
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 17, 2026?Yes 9.4% 198.43 shares
- Will any AI model reach 1550 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Yes 30.9% 274.82 shares
- Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 17, 2026?Yes 15.1% 198.44 shares
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 in July?No 18% 166.67 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?Yes 21% 95.24 shares
- Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Yes 17% 117.65 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 32% 46.88 shares
- Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 16% 93.75 shares
- Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?No 74% 5 shares
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?No 66% 5 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 20.5% 51.54 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 20.1% 24.88 shares