Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $437.04
- Potential profit
- $437.04
- User PnL
- -$5
Polymarket Trader
LightningArbCap
0x06a31df91c87a8df3b5699cbf4e4eb9e0b58fa45
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $521.78
- Realized PnL
- $248.12
- Win rate
- 37.5%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C or higher on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $228.61
- Potential profit
- $228.61
- User PnL
- -$150
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $9
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $191
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- -$91
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C or below on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $189
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $11
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $89
Yes position
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $189.87
- Potential profit
- $189.87
- User PnL
- -$150
No position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $152.55
- Potential profit
- $152.55
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $120.44
- Potential payout
- $120.8
- Potential profit
- $0.36
- User PnL
- $20.44
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $118.25
- Potential profit
- $118.25
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $117.03
- Potential profit
- $117.03
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $115.67
- Potential profit
- $115.67
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $113.89
- Potential profit
- $113.89
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $110.55
- Potential profit
- $110.55
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $108.95
- Potential profit
- $108.95
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.05
- Potential payout
- $103.73
- Potential profit
- $103.68
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$27.75
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $103.04
- Potential payout
- $103.19
- Potential profit
- $0.15
- User PnL
- $74.48
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.05
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $99.95
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$49.95
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.05
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $99.95
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$49.95
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $99.95
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $0.05
- User PnL
- $49.95
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.2
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $99.8
- Multiplier
- 500.00x
- User PnL
- -$29.8
No position
Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $69.44
- Potential profit
- $69.44
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on June 14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $66.92
- Potential profit
- $66.92
- User PnL
- -$54.58
Over position
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 4.5
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $52.63
- Potential profit
- $52.63
- User PnL
- -$10
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $72
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $46
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $39.47
No position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.75
No position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25
No position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $22
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C or below on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- $12.42
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.41
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C or higher on June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C or below on June 18?No 56.2% 200 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on June 18?No 73% 200 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on June 18?No 82.8% 120.8 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on June 18?Yes 27% 82.73 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on June 18?Yes 27.7% 103.19 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on June 18?Yes 26% 21 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on June 18?Yes 30% 100 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 18?No 79% 37.97 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on June 18?No 70.5% 14.18 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on June 18?No 87% 34.49 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 18?No 85.7% 35 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on June 18?No 89.7% 33.43 shares