No position
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.9%
- Current value
- $2.57K
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $424.02
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $7.61
Polymarket Trader
loewesan
@RationalBeard
0x06ab4493e33a0314c06b1da00a2029acd136ee5c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $12.9K
- Realized PnL
- $3.47K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $1.69K
- Potential payout
- $2.98K
- Potential profit
- $1.3K
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- -$7.51
No position
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $2.36K
- Potential payout
- $2.7K
- Potential profit
- $337.49
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $72.01
No position
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $1.38K
- Potential payout
- $1.54K
- Potential profit
- $161.7
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $19.3
No position
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
Ends Sep 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Current value
- $749.01
- Potential payout
- $979.1
- Potential profit
- $230.09
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- -$12.03
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.7%
- Current value
- $711.03
- Potential payout
- $850
- Potential profit
- $138.98
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $12.03
No position
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.9%
- Current value
- $712.55
- Potential payout
- $829.99
- Potential profit
- $117.44
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- -$2.96
No position
Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $712.26
- Potential payout
- $770.01
- Potential profit
- $57.75
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $16.36
No position
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $436.47
- Potential payout
- $759.07
- Potential profit
- $322.6
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- $85.15
Yes position
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?
Ends Jul 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $417.26
- Potential payout
- $518.33
- Potential profit
- $101.07
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $22.41
No position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96%
- Current value
- $415.84
- Potential payout
- $433.16
- Potential profit
- $17.33
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $71.61
Yes position
Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $221.25
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $28.75
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $23.66
Max Holloway position
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 67.5%
- Current value
- $135.01
- Potential payout
- $200.01
- Potential profit
- $65
- Multiplier
- 1.48x
- User PnL
- $6
No position
Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $158.4
- Potential payout
- $187.46
- Potential profit
- $29.06
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $4.19
No position
Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.6%
- Current value
- $48.79
- Potential payout
- $50.01
- Potential profit
- $1.23
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $4.73
No position
US military draft authorized in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $33.65
- Potential payout
- $35.99
- Potential profit
- $2.34
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $2.16
Yes position
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.1%
- Current value
- $22.22
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $7.79
- Multiplier
- 1.35x
- User PnL
- $6.92
No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $18.18
- Potential payout
- $20.09
- Potential profit
- $1.91
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $1.35
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $18.3
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $1.7
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $0.9
No position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $18.1
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $1.9
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $1.49
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $18.1
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $1.9
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $2.1
No position
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $19.9
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $0.1
- User PnL
- $0.68
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $18.1
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $1.9
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $1.81
No position
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $19.1
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $0.9
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $2.28
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $696
No position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- $497.79
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $371.15
No position
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $340.67
No position
Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $236.88
Yes position
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $195.93
No position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $181.9
No position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $157.97
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $127.67
No position
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the June Meeting?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $88.51
Yes position
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the June Meeting?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $72.39
No position
Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 22, 2026?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 91%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $71.39
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.13
Yes position
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the March Meeting?
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.9
Yes position
Will Tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.52
Gaethje position
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.82
No position
Netanyahu out by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.89
Strickland position
UFC Fight Night: Sean Strickland vs. Anthony Hernandez (Middleweight, Main Card)
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.5
Yes position
Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Multiplier
- 200.00x
- User PnL
- $35.19
No position
U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35
No position
Netanyahu out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.03
Yes position
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.4%
- Multiplier
- 41.67x
- User PnL
- $26.95
Yes position
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the April Meeting?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.69
Uros Medic position
UFC Fight Night: Geoff Neal vs. Uros Medic (Welterweight, Prelims)
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.2
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 22, 2026?Yes 9% 98.9 shares
- Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Yes 77.8% 300 shares
- US military draft authorized in 2026?No 93% 10 shares
- Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No 90% 40 shares
- Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?No 81% 20 shares
- Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No 86.4% 29.99 shares
- Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?No 83% 50 shares
- Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes 80.2% 50 shares
- Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by June 30?No 90% 30 shares
- Netanyahu out by June 30?No 97.8% 92.51 shares
- Netanyahu out by June 30?No 97.8% 300 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 21% 15 shares