No position
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.9% before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 67.6%
- Current value
- $384.19
- Potential payout
- $568.75
- Potential profit
- $184.56
- Multiplier
- 1.48x
- User PnL
- $276.38
Polymarket Trader
Happygamer
0x06af7d54ea6f1e3df688422534ef59654fa93741
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.02K
- Realized PnL
- $1.68K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 18
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.5% before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $382.76
- Potential profit
- $382.76
- User PnL
- -$43.62
No position
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 68%
- Current value
- $179.52
- Potential payout
- $264
- Potential profit
- $84.48
- Multiplier
- 1.47x
- User PnL
- $126.7
No position
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 75%
- Current value
- $112.5
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $37.5
- Multiplier
- 1.33x
- User PnL
- $3.72
No position
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $3B in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $150
- User PnL
- -$15
N
No position
Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 41%
- Current value
- $59.65
- Potential payout
- $145.48
- Potential profit
- $85.83
- Multiplier
- 2.44x
- User PnL
- $17.42
Yes position
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 4.2%
- Current value
- $4.15
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $95.85
- Multiplier
- 24.10x
- User PnL
- -$6.85
No position
Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 84.2%
- Current value
- $84.15
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $15.85
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $66.41
No position
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $4B in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 15%
- Current value
- $9
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $51
- Multiplier
- 6.67x
- User PnL
- -$9.4
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 86%
- Current value
- $43
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $7
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $33
No position
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86%
- Current value
- $43
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $7
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $8
No position
Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 90%
- Current value
- $31.5
- Potential payout
- $35
- Potential profit
- $3.5
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $16.34
No position
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 66.8%
- Current value
- $20.04
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $9.96
- Multiplier
- 1.50x
- User PnL
- $14.04
No position
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $5B in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 27.5%
- Current value
- $5.5
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $14.5
- Multiplier
- 3.64x
- User PnL
- -$1.5
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $18.7
- Potential payout
- $19.99
- Potential profit
- $1.3
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $8.5
No position
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.4%
- Current value
- $17.66
- Potential payout
- $19.99
- Potential profit
- $2.33
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $10.47
No position
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.7% before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Current value
- $1.56
- Potential payout
- $2.07
- Potential profit
- $0.51
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $0.75
No position
Will GBP/USD hit 1.25 (Low) in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 57%
- Current value
- $1
- Potential payout
- $1.75
- Potential profit
- $0.75
- Multiplier
- 1.75x
- User PnL
- $0.21
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Boris Johnson remain Prime Minister of the United Kingdom through August?
Ends Aug 31, 2022- Implied probability
- 0%
- Multiplier
- 393054.39x
- User PnL
- $208.76
No position
Will the next James Bond be British?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $93.99
Yes position
Trump announces additional funding cuts to Harvard before June?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $90.5
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $90
No position
Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $88.12
Yes position
Will Trump announce a general Tariff on imports on April 2?
Ends Apr 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $85.23
No position
Will Alexander Isak sign with a new club during the transfer window?
Ends Sep 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $81.85
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 55–60 million views on day 1?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $73.91
No position
Will Trump issue less than 10 executive orders on Day 1?
Ends Jan 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $71.52
Yes position
Will Trump impose a blanket tariff of 20-30% on the EU by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $71.1
No position
350k+ Tesla deliveries in Q1 2025?
Ends Apr 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.5
No position
Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with India before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64.5
Yes position
India x Pakistan military clash before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62.5
Yes position
Will Ukraine finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?
Ends May 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.5
Yes position
Will PSG beat Atlético Madrid?
Ends Jun 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52
Yes position
Will the 10-year Treasury yield be between 4.4% and 4.5% on April 11?
Ends Apr 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.84
Yes position
Will Elon and DOGE cut less than $50b in federal spending in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.49
Yes position
Will MrBeast raise $40M for clean water by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.3
No position
Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.3
Yes position
PSG vs. Atlético Madrid: 3+ Goals Scored?
Ends Jun 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47
Yes position
Will $Trump FDV be $20-25b on Feb 1?
Ends Feb 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45
No position
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $44.75
No position
Will Carvana (CVNA) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.49
No position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30-35m views on day 1?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.01
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?No 40.8% 36.66 shares
- Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?No 75.8% 100 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?No 97.2% 100 shares
- Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.9% before 2027?No 54% 41 shares
- Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,200 (HIGH) in December?No 68% 30 shares
- Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?No 67% 100 shares
- Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.6% before 2027?No 1.5% 72.6 shares
- Will Romania be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?No 1% 100 shares
- Will Sweden be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes 24% 20 shares
- Will United Kingdom come in last place at Eurovision 2026?Yes 51% 8.36 shares
- Will France be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?Yes 21% 8 shares
- Will Australia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?Yes 85% 9 shares