No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $6.97K
- Potential payout
- $7.97K
- Potential profit
- $996.25
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $1.39K
Polymarket Trader
123pocky
0x06b6872ce4b3cdb90049657cd2937a518a38eba6
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $29.28K
- Realized PnL
- $8.21K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Mike Vrabel out as Patriots Head Coach by Dec 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $3.39K
- Potential payout
- $3.87K
- Potential profit
- $484.32
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $579.28
Yes position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Current value
- $1.55K
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $1.46K
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- $365
No position
Iran Nuke before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $2.03K
- Potential payout
- $2.2K
- Potential profit
- $166.1
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $31.9
No position
Kurds declare independence from Iran?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Current value
- $2.15K
- Potential payout
- $2.18K
- Potential profit
- $23.95
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $108.69
No position
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.12K
- Potential profit
- $2.12K
- User PnL
- -$980.25
No position
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 37.5%
- Current value
- $574.5
- Potential payout
- $1.53K
- Potential profit
- $957.5
- Multiplier
- 2.67x
- User PnL
- -$147.18
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Current value
- $1.4K
- Potential payout
- $1.42K
- Potential profit
- $22.01
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $511.59
No position
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $1.2K
- Potential payout
- $1.21K
- Potential profit
- $4.22
- User PnL
- $221.21
No position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $885
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $115
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $25
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $905
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $95
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $85
No position
US recession by end of 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $855
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $145
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $85
No position
Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $998
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $2
- User PnL
- $23
No position
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $991.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $8.5
- User PnL
- $29.5
Yes position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.5%
- Current value
- $335
- Potential payout
- $999.99
- Potential profit
- $664.99
- Multiplier
- 2.99x
- User PnL
- -$345
No position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.3%
- Current value
- $962.48
- Potential payout
- $999.98
- Potential profit
- $37.5
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $60.5
No position
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 82%
- Current value
- $795.12
- Potential payout
- $969.66
- Potential profit
- $174.54
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- $199.93
Yes position
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Current value
- $679.49
- Potential payout
- $899.98
- Potential profit
- $220.5
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $173.5
Yes position
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.6%
- Current value
- $708.4
- Potential payout
- $800
- Potential profit
- $91.6
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $90.8
No position
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
Ends Aug 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 93%
- Current value
- $650.97
- Potential payout
- $699.96
- Potential profit
- $49
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Will Karrigan retire by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97%
- Current value
- $629.69
- Potential payout
- $649.5
- Potential profit
- $19.81
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- -$6.37
Yes position
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $621.25
- Potential profit
- $621.25
- User PnL
- -$422.45
No position
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 83%
- Current value
- $498
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $102
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $66
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $111
- Potential payout
- $599.99
- Potential profit
- $488.99
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- -$69
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $916.32
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $821.21
No position
Trump declassifies new UFO files by April 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $555.69
Yes position
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $554.22
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $520
No position
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $471.83
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $469.4
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $372.82
No position
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $362.26
Yes position
Will Trump post "POTUS" this week on Truth Social?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $302.74
Yes position
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $283.45
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $258.94
Yes position
DeepSeek V4 released by April 24?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $257.02
Yes position
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $240.93
Yes position
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $234.63
No position
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $212.14
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $194.04
No position
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $187.41
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on April 19?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $184.55
No position
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $175.4
No position
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 38m?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $174
Yes position
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $167.31
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 24, 2026?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $155.01
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $143.69
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?Yes 96.2% 93.57 shares
- Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?Yes 96.2% 93.57 shares
- Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?Yes 96.1% 130.57 shares
- Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?No 85% 406.22 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes 12% 173.09 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes 1.6% 449.13 shares
- Starmer out by May 31, 2026?Yes 4.3% 632 shares
- Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?No 62% 369.66 shares
- Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?Yes 94% 497 shares
- Will Keisha Lance Bottoms win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?Yes 97.6% 198.97 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 30% 599.99 shares
- Starmer out by May 19, 2026?Yes 0.6% 956.99 shares