Polymarket Trader

0xB1b62C2950dd280726D2C060cE6D9980343Dc535-1775437010745

0x06bc52999d8e13a833165ca9fad5649064fa31ec

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $42.36
Realized PnL: $32.01
Win rate: 73.3%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 15
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.25
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $499.75
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.75

No position

Will the next Claude Opus 4.8 model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score below 1480?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $363.64
Potential profit: $363.64
User PnL: -$4

No position

Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $166.67
Potential profit: $166.67
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $175 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.26
Potential payout: $75.33
Potential profit: $75.07
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$0.87

No position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $71.43
Potential profit: $71.43
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19%
Current value: $11.7
Potential payout: $61.73
Potential profit: $50.03
Multiplier: 5.28x
User PnL: $1.7

Yes position

Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $57.69
Potential profit: $57.69
User PnL: -$15

No position

GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 22%
Current value: $11
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $39
Multiplier: 4.55x
User PnL: $1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $47.14
Potential profit: $47.14
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $46.73
Potential profit: $46.73
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Donald Trump visit France in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $43.48
Potential profit: $43.48
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.19
Potential payout: $37.04
Potential profit: $36.85
Multiplier: 200.00x
User PnL: -$0.81

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31.73
Potential profit: $31.73
User PnL: -$6

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.58
Potential profit: $22.58
User PnL: -$14

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.22
Potential profit: $22.22
User PnL: -$2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.13
Potential profit: $21.13
User PnL: -$15

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.51
Potential profit: $19.51
User PnL: -$8

Yes position

Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 62.5%
Current value: $11.16
Potential payout: $17.86
Potential profit: $6.7
Multiplier: 1.60x
User PnL: $1.16

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 51.5%
Current value: $7.57
Potential payout: $14.71
Potential profit: $7.13
Multiplier: 1.94x
User PnL: -$2.43

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $0.23
Potential payout: $11.11
Potential profit: $10.88
Multiplier: 48.78x
User PnL: -$0.77

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.9
Potential profit: $6.9
User PnL: -$2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.55
Potential profit: $4.55
User PnL: -$2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.51
Potential profit: $3.51
User PnL: -$2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.14

Yes position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.07

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.49

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.81

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.37

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.79

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.47

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.18

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.02

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.85

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.06

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.64

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.62

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET

Up 57% 3.51 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET

Down 5% 40 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET

Down 42% 7.14 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET

Up 87% 8.47 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET

Up 59% 8.47 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET

Down 44% 4.55 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET

Up 52% 5.86 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET

Up 51% 5.86 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET

Down 9% 22.22 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET

Up 71% 21.13 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET

Up 29% 6.9 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET

Up 33% 0.83 shares