Yes position
Will Italy win on 2026-03-31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $970.03
- Potential profit
- $970.03
- User PnL
- -$0.97
Polymarket Trader
Skyarrival
0x06c32fd383eaf7ae41c07e5ddee151aebf168883
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $10.49
- Realized PnL
- $167.61
- Win rate
- 87.5%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $117.67
- Potential profit
- $117.67
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $99.17
- Potential profit
- $99.17
- User PnL
- -$27
Yes position
Will Inter win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $74.07
- Potential profit
- $74.07
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $60.61
- Potential profit
- $60.61
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.1%
- Current value
- $1.6
- Potential payout
- $52.37
- Potential profit
- $50.77
- Multiplier
- 32.79x
- User PnL
- -$0.4
Yes position
Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 16?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Kraken IPO by March 31, 2026?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $24.14
- Potential profit
- $24.14
- User PnL
- -$7
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $23.15
- Potential profit
- $23.15
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.52
- Potential profit
- $18.52
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
US strike on Mexico by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 17%
- Current value
- $2.98
- Potential payout
- $17.5
- Potential profit
- $14.53
- Multiplier
- 5.88x
- User PnL
- -$4.02
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.39
- Potential profit
- $17.39
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $0.75
- Potential payout
- $16.67
- Potential profit
- $15.92
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- -$1.25
Yes position
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.7%
- Current value
- $0.71
- Potential payout
- $12.5
- Potential profit
- $11.79
- Multiplier
- 17.70x
- User PnL
- -$0.29
Yes position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $1.06
- Potential payout
- $12.5
- Potential profit
- $11.44
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$0.94
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $1.98
- Potential payout
- $12
- Potential profit
- $10.02
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- -$1.02
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 12.3%
- Current value
- $1.42
- Potential payout
- $11.56
- Potential profit
- $10.14
- Multiplier
- 8.16x
- User PnL
- -$0.58
Yes position
U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by March 31?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.11
- Potential profit
- $11.11
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.34
- Potential profit
- $10.34
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.88
- Potential profit
- $9.88
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.7
- Potential profit
- $8.7
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.14
- Potential profit
- $7.14
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.8
- Potential profit
- $6.8
- User PnL
- -$2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.97
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.47
Yes position
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.11
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.25
Yes position
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.29
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.56
Yes position
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.36
Yes position
Will Arsenal FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?
Ends Jan 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.35
Yes position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 9, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.36
Y
Yes position
Japan to score first vs. Brazil?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.33
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.28
Yes position
Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.08
Illinois Fighting Illini position
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyes
Ends Mar 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.05
Yes position
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 29, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.75
Yes position
Will the US embassy in Venezuela reopen by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.67
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.59
Yes position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 7, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.56
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.43
Yes position
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase January 6-12?
Ends Jan 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
Yes position
Will Morocco win the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Morocco 2025?
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Khamenei leave Iran by Friday?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Maduro mugshot released by January 9?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?Yes 28% 7.14 shares
- Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?Yes 44% 11.36 shares
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Germany O/U 1.5 AND Germany to score first vs. Paraguay? AND Will Germany win on 2026-06-29? AND Germany leading at halftime?48.9% 20.12 shares
- Japan to score first vs. Brazil?Yes 30% 3.33 shares
- Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?Yes 31% 3.23 shares
- Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?Yes 28% 3.57 shares
- Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today?Yes 65% 3.08 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?Yes 56% 5.36 shares
- Will Italy win on 2026-03-31?Yes 0.1% 940.06 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 17.3% 11.56 shares
- Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 5.4% 18.52 shares
- Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa HawkeyesIllinois Fighting Illini 74% 4.03 shares