Polymarket Trader

mrpropercook

0x06c3d9e24e3189c28d7f8b1043fc97077ee9ec62

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $11.87
Realized PnL: $2.62K
Win rate: 80%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 5
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40.3K
Potential profit: $40.3K
User PnL: -$1.79K

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.21K
Potential profit: $2.21K
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $11.87
Potential payout: $2.16K
Potential profit: $2.15K
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$28.13

Yes position

Military action against Iran ends on April 19, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.39K
Potential profit: $1.39K
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.37K
Potential profit: $1.37K
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Starmer out by May 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.02K
Potential profit: $1.02K
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $961.6
Potential profit: $961.6
User PnL: -$38.46

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on April 26?

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $703.32
Potential profit: $703.32
User PnL: -$19.03

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $689.66
Potential profit: $689.66
User PnL: -$20

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $625
Potential profit: $625
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $625
Potential profit: $625
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $469.09
Potential profit: $469.09
User PnL: -$19.23

Yes position

Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $298.37
Potential profit: $298.37
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $297.53
Potential profit: $297.53
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $278.88
Potential profit: $278.88
User PnL: -$19.26

Yes position

Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Address to the Nation?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $259.69
Potential profit: $259.69
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Trump say "Six Seven" during Address to the Nation?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $201.34
Potential profit: $201.34
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on April 10?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $133.47
Potential profit: $133.47
User PnL: -$4.76

No position

Will Trump say "Operation Epic Fury" during Address to the Nation?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $86.86
Potential profit: $86.86
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Trump say "Peace in the Middle East" during the Easter Lunch on Wednesday?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $77.14
Potential profit: $77.14
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Joe Kent charged by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $71.43
Potential profit: $71.43
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 10°C on April 26?

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $44.51
Potential profit: $44.51
User PnL: -$19.44

No position

Will Trump say "Objective" or "Goal" 3+ times during Address to the Nation?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $42.67
Potential profit: $42.67
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 26?

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $39.73
Potential profit: $39.73
User PnL: -$19.49

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.55K

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on April 26?

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.57

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on April 25?

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.42

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 26?

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.05

No position

Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$9.99

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Starmer out by May 15, 2026?

Yes 9.8% 1,018.7 shares
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by April 30, 2026?

Yes 1.5% 1,370.37 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 26?

Yes 99.7% 36.69 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on April 26?

Yes 99.9% 51.99 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on April 25?

Yes 99.8% 31.14 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?

Yes 30.1% 33.17 shares
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on April 26?

Yes 2.7% 703.32 shares
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 10°C on April 26?

Yes 43.7% 44.51 shares
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 26?

Yes 49.1% 39.73 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on April 26?

Yes 37.3% 52 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 26?

Yes 53.2% 36.7 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on April 25?

Yes 31% 31.15 shares