Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$50
Polymarket Trader
aenas
0x06c66bea1147681eb6579ac9959e8c5df674577b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $374.54
- Realized PnL
- $87.8
- Win rate
- 41.7%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 24.6%
- Current value
- $92.1
- Potential payout
- $375.17
- Potential profit
- $283.07
- Multiplier
- 4.07x
- User PnL
- $13.77
No position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $229.13
- Potential payout
- $230.97
- Potential profit
- $1.85
- User PnL
- $10.07
Yes position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 21%
- Current value
- $38.17
- Potential payout
- $181.76
- Potential profit
- $143.59
- Multiplier
- 4.76x
- User PnL
- -$36.83
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $106.23
- Potential profit
- $106.23
- User PnL
- -$1.59
Yes position
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $15.14
- Potential payout
- $26.32
- Potential profit
- $11.19
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- -$1.18
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.83
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?
Ends Aug 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.81
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Ends Sep 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- $13.2
Yes position
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- $10.59
Yes position
Will Donald Trump visit Belarus in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.1
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.93
Yes position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 86%
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $2.67
No position
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- User PnL
- $1.5
No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.21
No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Ends Sep 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.14
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.3
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.35
Yes position
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.35
Yes position
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.93
Yes position
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 22?
Ends Aug 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.98
Yes position
Will DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will Time 2025 Person of the Year be leaked?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will Trump and Zelenskyy hug on Monday?
Ends Aug 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3
No position
Trump x Zelenskyy meet on Monday?
Ends Aug 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.3
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.8
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.61
Yes position
U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$8.54
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes 62% 26.32 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?Yes 86% 19.09 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 21% 128.04 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 20.9% 47.13 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 20.8% 200 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes 38% 60 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No 94% 2.27 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 16.5% 300 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No 87.9% 2.28 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes 16% 60 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No 96.4% 10 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 3% 300 shares