Polymarket Trader

AliciaBrown5622

0x06cd3bb4513c5c0444b3693ca9a6f039ae66e124

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $574.19
Realized PnL: $1.29K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Over $22M committed to the Space public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $585
Potential profit: $585
User PnL: -$76.05

Yes position

Over $600M raised on Coinbase in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 46%
Current value: $174.8
Potential payout: $380
Potential profit: $205.2
Multiplier: 2.17x
User PnL: -$87.4

No position

Will Wunmi Mosaku be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $318.61
Potential profit: $318.61
User PnL: -$111.51

No position

Will Jabarie Walker be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Louisiana?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $246
Potential payout: $246
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $113.16

Yes position

Will Oregon and Ole Miss win their 2026 CFP semifinal games?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $212
Potential profit: $212
User PnL: -$33.92

Yes position

Will Apple release a new product line in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $152
Potential profit: $152
User PnL: -$4.1

No position

Will Trump pardon Elon Musk before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.4%
Current value: $108.93
Potential payout: $113
Potential profit: $4.07
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $1.93

No position

Will MrBeast hit 105.5 billion views by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $87
Potential profit: $87
User PnL: -$72.21

Yes position

Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $10.75
Potential payout: $86
Potential profit: $75.25
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$12.47

Yes position

Will Syria join the Abraham Accords in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $79
Potential profit: $79
User PnL: -$1.11

Yes position

Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 9?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $74
Potential profit: $74
User PnL: -$1.04

Yes position

Will MicroStrategy be forced to liquidate Bitcoin holdings in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $72
Potential profit: $72
User PnL: -$0.94

No position

Nothing Ever Happens: AI Edition

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $71
Potential profit: $71
User PnL: -$31.95

Yes position

Will Trump say "Biden" at the FIFA World Cup Draw on December 5?

Ends Dec 5, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $64
Potential profit: $64
User PnL: -$10.88

No position

Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by December 28?

Ends Dec 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $63.01
Potential profit: $63.01
User PnL: -$46.63

Down position

Trump approval Up or Down this week?

Ends Dec 12, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $62
Potential profit: $62
User PnL: -$15.5

Yes position

Will Trump say "Border" at the FIFA World Cup Draw on December 5?

Ends Dec 5, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $61
Potential profit: $61
User PnL: -$18.3

Yes position

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $58
Potential profit: $58
User PnL: -$0.93

Yes position

SpaceX Starship fully reusable in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $54
Potential profit: $54
User PnL: -$1.4

No position

Will the Utah Jazz win more than 18.5 regular season games in 2025–26?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $53
Potential profit: $53
User PnL: -$11.13

Yes position

Will Route2FI win the Orderly trading competition?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $52
Potential profit: $52
User PnL: -$1.14

Yes position

Will Ciprian Ciucu get between 30% and 35% of the vote in the Bucharest Mayoral election?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $52
Potential profit: $52
User PnL: -$4.37

Yes position

Will NYC have between 5 and 6 inches of precipitation in December?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $43
Potential profit: $43
User PnL: -$1.12

No position

AI bubble burst in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 80.3%
Current value: $33.71
Potential payout: $42
Potential profit: $8.3
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: $6.4

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Ken Paxton come in 2nd in the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $255.27

No position

Will F1® 25 win VR Game of the Year at the 2025 Steam Awards?

Ends Jan 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $203.55

No position

Will Tempo launch a token by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $137.99

Yes position

Brex IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: $91.75

Yes position

Will Israel strike Gaza on December 3?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $79.36

Yes position

Will Sinners win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.72

No position

Will Yngvill Kolset Haga & Avy Kaufman (Sentimental Value) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.94

Yes position

Will 1550 to 1599 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2025?

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.4

Yes position

Israeli parliament dissolved by March 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $36.6

Yes position

Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $34.68

Yes position

Will the Miami Heat win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $33.96

No position

Will Israel strike Gaza on December 7?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.23

Yes position

Will Trump sell 10k-25k Gold Cards in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Multiplier: 48.78x
User PnL: $30.48

Yes position

Will the US strike Somalia next?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $30.11

Yes position

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025–2026 NBA Northwest Division?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.71

No position

Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.84

No position

Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?

Ends Dec 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.39

Yes position

Will Keon Ellis be traded this season?

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.14

Yes position

Will Tulane make the College Football Playoff?

Ends Dec 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.8

Yes position

Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 69.5%
Multiplier: 1.44x
User PnL: $19.29

No position

Will the Brooklyn Nets have the worst record in the NBA?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.91

No position

Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 10 be between 1,800,000 and 1,900,000?

Ends Jan 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.24

Yes position

Will Stephen Curry lead the NBA in three pointers made during the 2025–26 NBA season?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $13.28

No position

Foreign intervention in Gaza by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.02

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Scott Wiener receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary?

No 39% 5 shares
Will Jabarie Walker be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Louisiana?

No 44% 15 shares
Will the Milwaukee Bucks make the NBA Playoffs?

No 66% 398 shares
Will the Milwaukee Bucks make the NBA Playoffs?

No 68% 398 shares
Will Tempo launch a token by March 31, 2026?

No 78.2% 633 shares
Will Ken Paxton come in 2nd in the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

No 68% 5 shares
Will Supha Xayprasith-Mays win the 2026 Arkansas Governor Democratic primary election?

No 83% 410 shares
Will Russia enter Borova by March 31?

No 58% 10 shares
Will the US strike Somalia next?

No 42% 66.79 shares
Celonis IPO before 2027?

No 69% 244 shares
Will Supha Xayprasith-Mays win the 2026 Arkansas Governor Democratic primary election?

No 87% 609 shares
Celonis IPO before 2027?

No 69% 244 shares