Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $400
- User PnL
- -$236
Polymarket Trader
MeNoDatNutReelMuni
0x06d0e722f42eb4d6243c45b91ca1c00a7c0c059a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.84K
- Realized PnL
- $12.83K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Current value
- $310
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $90
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- $44
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $330
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $70
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- -$12
Yes position
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $300
- User PnL
- -$182
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 47%
- Current value
- $98.96
- Potential payout
- $210.54
- Potential profit
- $111.59
- Multiplier
- 2.13x
- User PnL
- $18.95
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $181
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $19
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $11
Yes position
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Current value
- $47
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $153
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 66.3%
- Current value
- $132.5
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $67.5
- Multiplier
- 1.51x
- User PnL
- $14.5
No position
Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $198.3
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $1.7
- User PnL
- $22.3
No position
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $167
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $33
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $3.0T and $3.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.2%
- Current value
- $174.28
- Potential payout
- $199.98
- Potential profit
- $25.7
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- $1.1
Golden Knights position
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $110
- Potential profit
- $110
- User PnL
- -$99
No position
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Current value
- $49.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $50.5
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- $0.5
Matteo Berrettini position
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Matteo Arnaldi
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$82
Over position
Mensik vs. Fonseca: Match O/U 36.5
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$62
Cavaliers position
Spread: Knicks (-14.5)
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$75
Yes position
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$6
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $99.7
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $0.3
- User PnL
- $11.7
No position
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.4%
- Current value
- $50.44
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $49.56
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- -$0.46
Spurs position
Spread: Spurs (-6.5)
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$59
No position
Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$39
Novak Djokovic position
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$77
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$40
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $99.99
- Potential profit
- $99.99
- User PnL
- -$30
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?
Ends Sep 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.21K
Seahawks position
Seahawks vs. Dolphins
Ends Sep 22, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.8K
No position
Caroline Ellison not sentenced to prison?
Ends Sep 24, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $980
Yes position
Will Donald Trump say "credit card" during his Pennsylvania rally?
Ends Sep 23, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $851
Sun position
WNBA: Sun vs. Fever Game 2
Ends Sep 25, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $658.13
Florida position
Florida vs. Houston
Ends Apr 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $526.36
No position
Will Donald Trump say "Comrade Kamala" 3 or more times during his North Carolina speech?
Ends Sep 25, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $486.57
Yes position
Will Donald Trump say "McDonald's" during his Georgia speech?
Ends Sep 24, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $460
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $407.85
Brewers position
Dodgers vs. Brewers
Ends Jul 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $405.67
No position
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2500 and $2600 on June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $383.04
Yes position
Will Donald Trump say "border" 15 or more times during his Georgia speech?
Ends Sep 24, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $380
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $354.53
Yes position
Will Iga Swiatek win Wimbledon 2025?
Ends Jul 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $318.08
Djokovic position
French Open: Zverev vs. Djokovic
Ends Jun 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $317.62
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET
Ends Feb 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $316.83
Yes position
Will Donald Trump say "Marxist" during his Georgia speech?
Ends Sep 24, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $309.99
Chiefs position
Falcons vs. Chiefs
Ends Sep 22, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $270
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET
Ends Feb 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $254.84
No position
Will Milton make landfall as a category 4?
Ends Oct 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $238.04
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET
Ends Feb 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $230.92
Yes position
Will Donald Trump say "Get out and vote" during his Michigan town hall?
Ends Sep 27, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $230
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $219.99
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $125k in May?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $219.79
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Warsh say "Depression" or "Recession" during June Press Conference?No 78% 13.5 shares
- Will Warsh say "Inflation" 50+ times during June Press Conference?No 94% 19.99 shares
- Will Warsh say "Inflation" 40+ times during June Press Conference?No 93% 40 shares
- Will Warsh say "Jerome" or "Powell" during June Press Conference?No 80% 10 shares
- Will Warsh say "Asymmetric" during June Press Conference?No 90% 100 shares
- Will Warsh say "I Don't Know" during June Press Conference?No 93% 20 shares
- Will Warsh say "I Don't Know" during June Press Conference?No 94% 19.99 shares
- Spread: Norway (-1.5)Norway 89% 100 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?No 2.2% 167.21 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?No 2.4% 32.79 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 7% 200 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 14.1% 200 shares