2DB

Implied probability: 2%
Current value: $1
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49
Multiplier: 50.00x
User PnL: -$2.57

Yes position

Will Love Island USA be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on July 10?

Implied probability: 40%
Current value: $20
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $30
Multiplier: 2.50x
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on July 10?

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $2.25
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $47.75
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: -$1.32

Yes position

Will Sergio Pérez be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.95
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: $0.05

Yes position

Will Liudmila Samsonova win the 2026 Women’s US Open?

Ends Sep 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.1
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.9
Multiplier: 200.00x
User PnL: -$9.9

Yes position

Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $0.15
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.85
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: $0.15

Yes position

Will Clémentine Autain win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.13
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.87
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: $0.13

Yes position

Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.13
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.87
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: $0.13

Yes position

Will a player representing Belgium be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Aug 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.07
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.93
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$9.93

Yes position

Will Jalen Brunson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.11
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.89
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: $0.11

Yes position

Will Luis Diaz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.95
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$9.95

Yes position

Will Barbora Krejcikova win the 2026 Women’s US Open?

Ends Sep 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $0.17
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.83
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: -$9.83

Yes position

Will a player representing Saudi Arabia be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Aug 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$0.37

Yes position

Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $0.19
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.81
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: $0.19

Yes position

Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.13
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.87
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: $0.13

Yes position

Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $0.21
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.79
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: $0.21

Yes position

Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $1.5
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $18.5
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$8.5

Yes position

Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.4%
Current value: $0.67
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.33
Multiplier: 29.85x
User PnL: $0.67

Yes position

Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.09
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.91
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: $0.09

Yes position

Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.13
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.87
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: $0.13

Yes position

Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Implied probability: 1.9%
Current value: $0.37
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.63
Multiplier: 54.05x
User PnL: $0.37

Yes position

Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $0.15
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.85
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: $0.15

Yes position

Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $0.17
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.83
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: $0.17

Yes position

Will a player representing Austria be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Aug 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$10

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will ChatGPT be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on July 10?

Implied probability: 62.5%
Multiplier: 1.60x
User PnL: $21.43

No position

Will Peacock TV: Stream TV & Movies be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on July 10?

Implied probability: 62.5%
Multiplier: 1.60x
User PnL: $21.43

No position

Will Kalshi: Trade the World Cup be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on July 10?

Implied probability: 64%
Multiplier: 1.56x
User PnL: $21.43

No position

Will FOX One: Live News, Sports, TV be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on July 10?

Implied probability: 67.5%
Multiplier: 1.48x
User PnL: $21.43

No position

Will Love Island USA be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on July 10?

Implied probability: 60%
Multiplier: 1.67x
User PnL: $21.43

No position

Will Vinícius Júnior win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Implied probability: 99.9%
User PnL: $9.77

No position

Will Mohamed Salah win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Implied probability: 99.8%
User PnL: $9.77

No position

Will Federico Valverde win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Implied probability: 99.9%
User PnL: $9.77

No position

Will Lautaro Martinez win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Implied probability: 99.5%
User PnL: $9.77

No position

Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Implied probability: 74.6%
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: $9.77

No position

Will Raphinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Implied probability: 99.9%
User PnL: $9.77

No position

Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Implied probability: 93.7%
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $9.77

No position

Will Luis Diaz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Implied probability: 99.8%
User PnL: $9.77

No position

Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Implied probability: 74.5%
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: $9.77

No position

Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Implied probability: 94.7%
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $9.77

No position

Will Achraf Hakimi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Implied probability: 98.4%
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $9.77

No position

Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Implied probability: 99.7%
User PnL: $9.77

No position

Will Cristiano Ronaldo win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Implied probability: 99.8%
User PnL: $9.77

No position

Will Cole Palmer win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Implied probability: 99.9%
User PnL: $9.77

No position

Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Implied probability: 99.5%
User PnL: $9.77

No position

Will Declan Rice win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Implied probability: 99%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $9.77

No position

Will Desire Doue win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Implied probability: 99.9%
User PnL: $9.77

No position

Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Implied probability: 99.9%
User PnL: $9.77

No position

Will Pedri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?