Polymarket Trader

6862584

0x06e8b7d7474f561130533455b0a9bdcc56339c25

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $4.82K
Realized PnL: $11.18K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 12
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $2K
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2
User PnL: $204.14

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 93%
Current value: $1.47K
Potential payout: $1.58K
Potential profit: $110.65
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $127.18

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on May 22?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $999.99
Potential profit: $999.99
User PnL: -$60

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 45.5%
Current value: $273.5
Potential payout: $601.1
Potential profit: $327.6
Multiplier: 2.20x
User PnL: $73.5

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $536.82
Potential payout: $537.09
Potential profit: $0.27
User PnL: $38.27

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $365.82
Potential profit: $365.82
User PnL: -$254.2

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 94%
Current value: $320.65
Potential payout: $341.12
Potential profit: $20.47
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $30.06

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $182.47
Potential payout: $191.17
Potential profit: $8.7
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $9.47

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on June 21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 12%
Current value: $16.76
Potential payout: $139.66
Potential profit: $122.9
Multiplier: 8.33x
User PnL: $6.76

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $66.05
Potential profit: $66.05
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Solana dip to $60 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 18.3%
Current value: $5.66
Potential payout: $30.99
Potential profit: $25.34
Multiplier: 5.48x
User PnL: -$21.24

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 99%
Current value: $16.49
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $0.18
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $0.82

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 12?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.13K

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 22?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.02K

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 7?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $800.01

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $723.7

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on May 6?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $600

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $563.33

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 9?

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $512.2

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 18?

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $491.29

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 9?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $457.1

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on April 29?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $444.22

No position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026?

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $439.8

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C or higher on May 9?

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $397.84

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on April 24?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $378.83

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 12?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $360.87

No position

Will Trump say "Fentanyl" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $343.51

No position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $339.85

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on April 12?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $320

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C or higher on April 27?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $313.53

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 28?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $277.75

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 6?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $264.91

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 26?

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $264.66

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $249.32

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $243.93

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 26?

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $239.11

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 20?

Yes 90.6% 268.29 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 20?

Yes 90.7% 282.4 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 20?

No 91% 124.18 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 20?

Yes 83.9% 127.5 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 20?

Yes 85.2% 133.8 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 20?

Yes 82.6% 148.88 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 20?

No 92.6% 80.99 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 20?

No 92.2% 57.5 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 19?

Yes 99.9% 307.96 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 20?

No 81.2% 194.62 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 20?

No 94% 12.67 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 20?

No 92.8% 352.59 shares