Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 23.8%
- Current value
- $102.34K
- Potential payout
- $430K
- Potential profit
- $327.66K
- Multiplier
- 4.20x
- User PnL
- -$112.66K
Polymarket Trader
HH168
0x07046535ff9a910d7343a2c319a3e62234621858
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $430K
- Realized PnL
- $841.79K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 76.2%
- Current value
- $327.66K
- Potential payout
- $430K
- Potential profit
- $102.34K
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- $112.66K
No position
Palisades wildfire burns 10,000 acres by Friday?
Ends Jan 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $103
- Potential profit
- $103
- User PnL
- -$27.81
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $223.13K
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $165.27K
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $122.9K
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $120.11K
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.77K
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?
Ends Jun 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.33K
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?
Ends May 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.3K
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting?
Ends Mar 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.43K
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No position
Ethereum all time high in Q4 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.13K
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.53K
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?
Ends Jul 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.14K
No position
Will Ethereum hit $4,500.00 by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9K
No position
Will Ethereum hit $4,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.05K
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting?
Ends Jan 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.55K
No position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.41K
No position
Will a new country buy Bitcoin in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.11K
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84000 and $86000 on Mar 28?
Ends Mar 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.07K
Yes position
Bitcoin above $105,000 on January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $430.13
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $106K and $108K on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $390
Yes position
Bitcoin above $103,000 on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $180.1
No position
Kraken IPO in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $179.26
Yes position
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $151.11
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $106K on June 27?
Ends Jun 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $122.19
No position
Ethereum all time high by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $114.98
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 0.2% 138.9 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?No 99.4% 138.9 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 0.2% 268.99 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 0.6% 268.99 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?No 99.3% 268.99 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 0.2% 140,417.11 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 0.6% 70.49 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?No 99.3% 70.49 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 0.6% 12,131.74 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?No 99.3% 12,131.74 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 0.6% 17,269.21 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 0.7% 17,269.21 shares