Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $14.81
- Potential payout
- $329.13
- Potential profit
- $314.31
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- -$195.19
Polymarket Trader
gctrader
0x0712410db8d726269abce3e40f58366a260ac38a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $406.42
- Realized PnL
- -$20.05
- Win rate
- 36.4%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 11
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $12.32
- Potential payout
- $224
- Potential profit
- $211.68
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$12.68
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $199.51
- Potential payout
- $200.01
- Potential profit
- $0.5
- User PnL
- $109.5
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 67.5%
- Current value
- $74.69
- Potential payout
- $110.66
- Potential profit
- $35.96
- Multiplier
- 1.48x
- User PnL
- $7.19
No position
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $78.86
- Potential payout
- $79.62
- Potential profit
- $0.76
- User PnL
- $3.86
Yes position
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Current value
- $26.23
- Potential payout
- $49.03
- Potential profit
- $22.8
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- -$6.27
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.97
No position
Will USD reach 2.0M Iranian rials by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.54
No position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.34
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.24
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Yes position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$3.83
Yes position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$8.22
Yes position
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$15.6
Yes position
Will USD reach 1.9M Iranian rials by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$39.39
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- -$45.9
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$48.19
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 61% 110.66 shares
- Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Yes 66.3% 49.03 shares
- Will Russia enter Orikhiv by June 30?No 94.2% 79.62 shares
- Will Russia enter Orikhiv by July 31?Yes 11.2% 224 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?Yes 63.8% 329.13 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 45% 200 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 77.7% 673.04 shares
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?Yes 5.2% 478.57 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes 61% 234.37 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 51% 150.6 shares
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?Yes 7% 428.57 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 83.5% 563.05 shares