Polymarket Trader

Bika98

0x0717d4333dc44d447e97a6e555608d872891ade5

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $6.44
Realized PnL: $378.01
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $476.79
Potential profit: $476.79
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1.4

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $92.87
Potential profit: $92.87
User PnL: -$0.93

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $85.8
Potential profit: $85.8
User PnL: -$18.88

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $58.26
Potential profit: $58.26
User PnL: -$15.15

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $53
Potential profit: $53
User PnL: -$19.08

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $42.9
Potential profit: $42.9
User PnL: -$9.44

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40.85
Potential profit: $40.85
User PnL: -$14.3

Yes position

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.7%
Current value: $2.05
Potential payout: $36.25
Potential profit: $34.2
Multiplier: 17.70x
User PnL: -$4.95

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$4.8

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.84
Potential profit: $28.84
User PnL: -$9.52

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.23
Potential profit: $27.23
User PnL: -$9.53

Yes position

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.63
Potential profit: $15.63
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.9
Potential profit: $12.9
User PnL: -$4.77

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.77
Potential profit: $11.77
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.54
Potential profit: $11.54
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.69
Potential profit: $7.69
User PnL: -$1

No position

Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 61.5%
Current value: $4.39
Potential payout: $7.14
Potential profit: $2.75
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: $1.39

Yes position

Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.12
Potential profit: $6.12
User PnL: -$3

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.75
Potential profit: $5.75
User PnL: -$3.91

No position

Will Donald Trump say "Putin" 3+ times during Ukraine President events on December 28?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.56
Potential profit: $5.56
User PnL: -$2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.39
Potential profit: $5.39
User PnL: -$1.13

Yes position

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.45
Potential profit: $3.45
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100.13

Yes position

Hungary Election: TISZA wins a constitutional majority?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $94.05

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $85.35

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.37

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve on January 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.7

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.38

No position

Will Trump try to fire Powell by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.88

FengDa Gaming position

Counter-Strike: FengDa Gaming vs Just Swing (BO3)

Ends Dec 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.88

Yes position

Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in August?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.15

No position

Will Powell say "Trump" during September press conference?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.83

No position

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.82

No position

US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.56

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.16

Yes position

Ethereum above $4400 on August 13?

Ends Aug 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.75

Magic position

Celtics vs. Magic

Ends Nov 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.33

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.15

Yes position

Will Trump say "Friend of Mine" during WEF Address on January 21?

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.1

Yes position

Another dildo thrown at WNBA game by Friday?

Ends Aug 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.69

Pistons position

Pistons vs. Nets

Ends Nov 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.66

No position

Will the August 2025 unemployment rate be ≥4.4%?

Ends Sep 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.65

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 9?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.64

Yes position

Will Donald Trump say "oil" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?

Ends Jan 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.6

Yes position

Will Trump say "NATO" during WEF Address on January 21?

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.6

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $4600 in August?

Ends Sep 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.57

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET

Up 26% 58.26 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET

Up 35% 40.85 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET

Up 1% 92.87 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET

Up 22% 42.9 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET

Down 36% 53 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET

Down 37% 12.9 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET

Down 9.1% 102.92 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET

Down 65% 15 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET

Down 33% 28.84 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET

Up 21% 5.39 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET

Up 50% 81.69 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET

Down 41% 93.42 shares