Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.62K
- Potential profit
- $5.62K
- User PnL
- -$2.98K
Polymarket Trader
0x071b...d08d
0x071b7262678191c1ed956f42888bb507bd9ad08d
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $4.82K
- Realized PnL
- -$742.61
- Win rate
- 20%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 5
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $4.05K
- Potential payout
- $4.05K
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $2.18K
Yes position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $179.27
- Potential payout
- $3.26K
- Potential profit
- $3.08K
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$1.26K
Yes position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $589.86
- Potential payout
- $2.74K
- Potential profit
- $2.15K
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- -$410.14
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $446.38
No position
Nuclear weapon detonation by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$41.89
No position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$56.09
Yes position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$500
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$591
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes 46.2% 4,047.64 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?Yes 8.3% 6,038.28 shares
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes 36.4% 2,743.54 shares
- Nuclear weapon detonation by March 31?No 92.8% 3,647.13 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?Yes 44.1% 3,259.51 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes 99.8% 1,449.27 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes 50% 1,966 shares
- Nuclear weapon detonation by March 31?No 93.9% 2,130.98 shares
- Nuclear weapon detonation by March 31?No 94.1% 1,515.08 shares
- Nuclear weapon detonation by March 31?No 93.3% 1.07 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes 54.8% 3,649.27 shares
- Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?No 50% 1,887.81 shares