Yes position
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $172.72
- Potential payout
- $6.8K
- Potential profit
- $6.63K
- Multiplier
- 39.37x
- User PnL
- -$85.5
Polymarket Trader
DominuxLux
0x0726afe07cf6e650f43193f9f90d1f03fbef369c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.41K
- Realized PnL
- $5.47K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will BNB hit $1500 by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.2K
- Potential profit
- $4.2K
- User PnL
- -$351.16
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.7%
- Current value
- $750.62
- Potential payout
- $3.47K
- Potential profit
- $2.72K
- Multiplier
- 4.62x
- User PnL
- $299.9
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $357.32
- Potential payout
- $2.87K
- Potential profit
- $2.51K
- Multiplier
- 8.03x
- User PnL
- -$101.88
No position
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.2K
- Potential profit
- $1.2K
- User PnL
- -$300
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $183.28
- Potential payout
- $1.11K
- Potential profit
- $927.51
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- -$72.2
Yes position
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Current value
- $12.65
- Potential payout
- $1.1K
- Potential profit
- $1.09K
- Multiplier
- 86.96x
- User PnL
- -$405.35
Yes position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 35.5%
- Current value
- $386.95
- Potential payout
- $1.09K
- Potential profit
- $703.05
- Multiplier
- 2.82x
- User PnL
- -$10.3
Yes position
Kraken IPO by March 31, 2026?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$298.77
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Current value
- $168.1
- Potential payout
- $820
- Potential profit
- $651.9
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- -$29.13
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $695.11
- Potential profit
- $695.11
- User PnL
- -$146.94
Yes position
Cuban regime falls in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $99
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $501
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- -$116.09
Yes position
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 34%
- Current value
- $199.22
- Potential payout
- $585.94
- Potential profit
- $386.72
- Multiplier
- 2.94x
- User PnL
- -$16.06
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $497.5
- Potential profit
- $497.5
- User PnL
- -$79.73
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $398.27
- Potential profit
- $398.27
- User PnL
- -$58.96
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $319.72
- Potential profit
- $319.72
- User PnL
- -$202.21
Yes position
Natural Disaster in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 26%
- Current value
- $78
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $222
- Multiplier
- 3.85x
- User PnL
- -$18.37
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $299.73
- Potential profit
- $299.73
- User PnL
- -$15.21
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $298.49
- Potential profit
- $298.49
- User PnL
- -$169.67
Yes position
Will El Salvador win on 2025-09-08?
Ends Sep 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $264.97
- Potential profit
- $264.97
- User PnL
- -$154.45
Yes position
Will El Salvador win on 2025-10-14?
Ends Oct 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $235
- Potential profit
- $235
- User PnL
- -$103.3
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $199.98
- Potential profit
- $199.98
- User PnL
- -$4
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $199.66
- Potential profit
- $199.66
- User PnL
- -$36.92
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $198.99
- Potential profit
- $198.99
- User PnL
- -$75.83
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.97K
No position
Will CZ return to Binance by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.8K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $442.35
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $240
Yes position
Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in December?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $180
Yes position
Will Guatemala win on 2025-10-14?
Ends Oct 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $163.7
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $131
Yes position
Will El Salvador win on 2025-10-10?
Ends Oct 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $119.73
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $110
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $85.39
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.95
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.98
Yes position
New pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- $32.14
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.6
Yes position
US strike on Cuba by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $21.26
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.37
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.8
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.93
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.63
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.86
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.06
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.16
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.09
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.62
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?Yes 38.1% 40 shares
- Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?Yes 36% 164.48 shares
- Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?Yes 33.2% 121.46 shares
- Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?Yes 38.3% 128.92 shares
- Natural Disaster in 2026?Yes 32.1% 300 shares
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes 36.6% 1,000 shares
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes 35% 90 shares
- Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?Yes 24.1% 820 shares
- Cuban regime falls in 2026?Yes 35.8% 600 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Yes 23% 1,110.79 shares
- Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?Yes 38% 1,100 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 5:15AM-5:20AM ETUp 50% 99.42 shares