Polymarket Trader

fgrdf66

0x0737604d59080057804840f6302559f1cafb5516

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1
Realized PnL: -$1.97K
Win rate: 50%
Open positions: 4
Closed positions: 16
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2025 Stanley Cup?

Ends Jun 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $91.67
Potential profit: $91.67
User PnL: -$11

Yes position

Will Real Madrid win La Liga?

Ends May 25, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $39.53
Potential profit: $39.53
User PnL: -$17

Yes position

U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $33.33
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $1
Potential payout: $13.33
Potential profit: $12.33
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will China invade Taiwan in 2024?

Ends Dec 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.09

Yes position

Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $22.3

England position

Netherlands vs. England - Who will advance?

Ends Jul 10, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.45

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.43

Yes position

Will 'Inside Out 2' gross most in 2024?

Ends Dec 29, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.99

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.7

Yes position

Ayatollah Khamenei still in power in Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.06

No position

Fed rate hike in 2024?

Ends Dec 18, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Iran Nuke by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.51

No position

Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 98.9%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: -$0.71

No position

Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$2.73

No position

Will the Utah Jazz win the 2025 NBA Finals?

Ends Jun 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$3.49

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 19.7%
Multiplier: 5.09x
User PnL: -$3.7

Yes position

Will Manchester City win the UEFA Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$13

No position

2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 215+

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$24.54

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

No 98.5% 709.93 shares
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

No 98.6% 709.94 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET

Down 82.4% 1,126.62 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET

Down 95.9% 490.18 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET

Down 54.5% 1,103.78 shares
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?

No 98.8% 2,730.03 shares
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?

No 98.9% 2,730.03 shares
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Yes 37.8% 1,250 shares
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Yes 36% 1,250 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET

Up 74% 2.68 shares
H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?

Yes 15% 13.33 shares
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?

Yes 6% 33.33 shares