Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $23.75K
- Potential payout
- $250K
- Potential profit
- $226.25K
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$6.75K
Polymarket Trader
Mantronix
0x073a1caba3c22e9e361ceae83aaa5405706f91e7
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $67.55K
- Realized PnL
- $112.46K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 12
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 4.3%
- Current value
- $3.91K
- Potential payout
- $89.98K
- Potential profit
- $86.08K
- Multiplier
- 23.04x
- User PnL
- $665.86
Yes position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.3%
- Current value
- $1.48K
- Potential payout
- $34K
- Potential profit
- $32.52K
- Multiplier
- 23.04x
- User PnL
- -$1.56K
Yes position
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 5%
- Current value
- $1.6K
- Potential payout
- $32.27K
- Potential profit
- $30.67K
- Multiplier
- 20.20x
- User PnL
- $338.82
Yes position
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 9.9%
- Current value
- $2.55K
- Potential payout
- $25.81K
- Potential profit
- $23.25K
- Multiplier
- 10.10x
- User PnL
- $1.17K
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.1%
- Current value
- $841.83
- Potential payout
- $16.67K
- Potential profit
- $15.83K
- Multiplier
- 19.80x
- User PnL
- -$1.52K
Yes position
Weed rescheduled by December 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 27%
- Current value
- $3.23K
- Potential payout
- $12K
- Potential profit
- $8.77K
- Multiplier
- 3.71x
- User PnL
- -$895.96
Yes position
Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Current value
- $4.83K
- Potential payout
- $11.11K
- Potential profit
- $6.28K
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- -$1.17K
Yes position
Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 72.5%
- Current value
- $7.25K
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $2.75K
- Multiplier
- 1.38x
- User PnL
- $461.12
Yes position
Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $7.52K
- Potential payout
- $8.8K
- Potential profit
- $1.28K
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $1.19K
Yes position
Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Current value
- $5.15K
- Potential payout
- $8.8K
- Potential profit
- $3.65K
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- -$1.19K
Yes position
Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 62.5%
- Current value
- $5.44K
- Potential payout
- $8.7K
- Potential profit
- $3.26K
- Multiplier
- 1.60x
- User PnL
- -$565.42
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Flying Tulip FDV above $800M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.44K
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.8K
Yes position
Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.7K
Alabama Crimson Tide position
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Alabama Crimson Tide
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.23K
Yes position
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-04-22?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.73K
Yes position
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-22?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.61K
Yes position
$ARB above $1 one week after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2023- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.42K
Yes position
Will the 2026 State of the Union address last 100 minutes or longer?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.36K
Alabama Crimson Tide position
Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Michigan Wolverines
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.26K
Yes position
Will Trump say "fraud" at debate?
Ends Sep 10, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.18K
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.06K
Yes position
Flying Tulip FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.06K
Texas Longhorns position
Texas Longhorns vs. BYU Cougars
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $889.16
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $869.88
Yes position
Trump declassifies new UFO files by December 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $706.09
Yes position
Will a Democrat win Nevada Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $550.95
Warriors position
Warriors vs. Kings
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $438.17
Yes position
Will Kamala say "Palestine" or "Palestinian" at debate?
Ends Sep 10, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $399.81
Burnley FC position
Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $375
Nuggets position
Thunder vs. Nuggets
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $181.77
Yes position
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $120.25
Seattle Mariners position
Seattle Mariners vs. San Diego Padres
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $32.65
No position
Will ≥10% of Votes go to 3rd Party Candidates in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.05
Yes position
Eric Swalwell out as US Rep by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.23
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?Yes 57% 9,000 shares
- Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 67% 1,112 shares
- Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 54% 11,111 shares
- Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 72% 6,195.34 shares
- Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 72% 8,800 shares
- Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 69% 1,334 shares
- Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 68% 8,888 shares
- Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No 33% 20,349 shares
- Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes 40% 12,000 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Yes 72.4% 10,152.31 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Yes 70.4% 12,034.31 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Yes 71% 8,007.79 shares