No position
Will Cait Conley be the Democratic nominee for NY-17?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $700.15
- Potential payout
- $3.59K
- Potential profit
- $2.89K
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- $148.11
Polymarket Trader
0x074828080eff6A51f0CC4aaf5e02a7aCa49DFB1e-1764919796918
0x074828080eff6a51f0cc4aaf5e02a7aca49dfb1e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $980.51
- Realized PnL
- $113.07
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Beth Davidson be the Democratic nominee for NY-17?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 20%
- Current value
- $280.32
- Potential payout
- $1.4K
- Potential profit
- $1.12K
- Multiplier
- 5.00x
- User PnL
- -$35.68
Yes position
Will Mike Sacks be the Democratic nominee for NY-17?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.04
- Potential payout
- $85.37
- Potential profit
- $85.33
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$49.96
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.63
- Potential profit
- $6.63
- User PnL
- -$0.99
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.97
- Potential profit
- $1.97
- User PnL
- -$0.98
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.97
- Potential profit
- $1.97
- User PnL
- -$0.98
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.97
- Potential profit
- $1.97
- User PnL
- -$0.98
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.39
- Potential profit
- $1.39
- User PnL
- -$0.99
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.57
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.74
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.49
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.09
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.58
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.72
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.07
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.55
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.9
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.72
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.92
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.92
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.33
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.23
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.13
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.05
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.04
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.96
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.96
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Beth Davidson be the Democratic nominee for NY-17?Yes 22.5% 1,401.59 shares
- Will Cait Conley be the Democratic nominee for NY-17?No 13.6% 3,477.49 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 4:50PM-4:55PM ETUp 43% 2.29 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 4:50PM-4:55PM ETUp 44.1% 2.91 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 4:50PM-4:55PM ETUp 33.9% 2.91 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 4:45PM-4:50PM ETDown 71% 1.39 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 4:45PM-4:50PM ETUp 20% 2.15 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 4:45PM-4:50PM ETUp 45.9% 2.15 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 4:45PM-4:50PM ETUp 56.1% 2.24 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 4:45PM-4:50PM ETUp 43.9% 2.24 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 4:45PM-4:50PM ETUp 40% 5.73 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 4:45PM-4:50PM ETUp 33.9% 2.91 shares