Polymarket Trader

dobar

0x0753143238affe972166ed60030c66af2f94c6aa

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.22K
Realized PnL: $13.71K
Win rate: 83.3%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.8%
Current value: $564.08
Potential payout: $32.23K
Potential profit: $31.67K
Multiplier: 57.14x
User PnL: -$155.56

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.9K
Potential profit: $16.9K
User PnL: -$61.99

Yes position

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 3.7%
Current value: $464.59
Potential payout: $12.56K
Potential profit: $12.09K
Multiplier: 27.03x
User PnL: -$2.55K

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.5K
Potential profit: $11.5K
User PnL: -$23

Yes position

Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $55
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $9.95K
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$65

Yes position

Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.8K
Potential profit: $9.8K
User PnL: -$71.99

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.76K
Potential profit: $6.76K
User PnL: -$1.06K

Yes position

Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.19K
Potential profit: $5.19K
User PnL: -$97.33

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.4K
Potential profit: $4.4K
User PnL: -$247.86

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $4K
User PnL: -$434.79

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.96K
Potential profit: $3.96K
User PnL: -$197.91

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.44K
Potential profit: $3.44K
User PnL: -$147.81

Yes position

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.62K
Potential profit: $2.62K
User PnL: -$159.76

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.6K
Potential profit: $2.6K
User PnL: -$565.19

No position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 5.2%
Current value: $130
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.37K
Multiplier: 19.23x
User PnL: -$774.98

Yes position

Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1.21
Potential payout: $2.41K
Potential profit: $2.41K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$34.67

Yes position

Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1.2
Potential payout: $2.4K
Potential profit: $2.4K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$8.16

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.18K
Potential profit: $2.18K
User PnL: -$96.17

Yes position

Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.1K
Potential profit: $2.1K
User PnL: -$211.89

Yes position

Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $4.2
Potential payout: $2.1K
Potential profit: $2.1K
Multiplier: 500.00x
User PnL: -$7.18

Yes position

Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $3
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$82.84

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.6K
Potential profit: $1.6K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.4K
Potential profit: $1.4K
User PnL: -$466

Yes position

Will Hassan Rouhani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.33K
Potential profit: $1.33K
User PnL: -$20

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.45K

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.34K

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.15K

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.86K

Yes position

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $85 by end of January?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $963.12

Yes position

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of January?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $911.11

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $687.12

Yes position

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of January?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $576.73

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $419.54

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $407.22

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $348.67

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $238.09

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 94.8%
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $126.75

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $68.57

No position

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68.23

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52

Yes position

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of January?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.44

Yes position

Will Trump and Machado not shake hands?

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.93

Yes position

Maduro out by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.6

No position

Will Donald Trump say "CIA" or "FBI" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?

Ends Jan 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.56

Yes position

Will Donald Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?

Ends Jan 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Frankenstein be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 25+ times during WEF Address on January 21?

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the US strike Yemen next?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Yes 23.7% 1,266.92 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?

Yes 3.5% 2,857.14 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?

Yes 4.4% 2,178.41 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?

Yes 2.4% 1,201.2 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?

Yes 8.8% 1,100.55 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?

Yes 6.3% 2,243.19 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?

Yes 15.7% 2,461.25 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?

Yes 11% 964.4 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?

Yes 16% 5,991.64 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?

No 24% 649.63 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in April?

No 15% 1,159.19 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?

No 22% 968.8 shares