N
No position
Will Trump post "UFC" on Truth Social this week?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.05
- Potential payout
- $93.33
- Potential profit
- $93.29
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$8.35
Polymarket Trader
0x0765...9e3f
0x076576d9ea2264ee1ce4cafc1b0ecbda4ceb9e3f
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $112.44
- Realized PnL
- -$27.76
- Win rate
- 26.7%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 15
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $38.61
- Potential profit
- $38.61
- User PnL
- -$21
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 37.5%
- Current value
- $7.52
- Potential payout
- $20.07
- Potential profit
- $12.54
- Multiplier
- 2.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.67
No position
New pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $15.04
- Potential payout
- $16.62
- Potential profit
- $1.58
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- -$0.08
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 6.4%
- Current value
- $1.03
- Potential payout
- $16.15
- Potential profit
- $15.13
- Multiplier
- 15.75x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Yes position
Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 39%
- Current value
- $4.82
- Potential payout
- $12.35
- Potential profit
- $7.54
- Multiplier
- 2.56x
- User PnL
- $0.62
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $0.89
- Potential payout
- $10.5
- Potential profit
- $9.61
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$0.16
Yes position
No one announced as next James Bond?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $10.15
- Potential payout
- $10.19
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- User PnL
- $0.52
No position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97%
- Current value
- $8.37
- Potential payout
- $8.63
- Potential profit
- $0.26
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Y
Yes position
Will Trump post "UFC" on Truth Social this week?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $8.24
- Potential payout
- $8.24
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.68
No position
Will Claude Code Commits be at least 750.0k on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 15%
- Current value
- $1.21
- Potential payout
- $8.08
- Potential profit
- $6.87
- Multiplier
- 6.67x
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 31%
- Current value
- $2.48
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $5.52
- Multiplier
- 3.23x
- User PnL
- $0.8
Yes position
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $6.95
- Potential payout
- $6.96
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.23
No position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $6.83
- Potential payout
- $6.87
- Potential profit
- $0.04
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $5.07
- Potential payout
- $6.15
- Potential profit
- $1.08
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $5.31
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $0.69
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $0.27
N
No position
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 68%
- Current value
- $4.08
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $1.92
- Multiplier
- 1.47x
- User PnL
- $0.72
No position
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.8%
- Current value
- $4.99
- Potential payout
- $5.21
- Potential profit
- $0.22
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $5.11
- Potential payout
- $5.15
- Potential profit
- $0.04
- User PnL
- $0.07
Yes position
Will Phil Weiser win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $3.6
- Potential payout
- $4.42
- Potential profit
- $0.82
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $0.24
No position
Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.3%
- Current value
- $4.07
- Potential payout
- $4.32
- Potential profit
- $0.25
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.71
No position
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 52.5%
- Current value
- $2.1
- Potential payout
- $4
- Potential profit
- $1.9
- Multiplier
- 1.90x
- User PnL
- $0.42
N
No position
Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $3.31
- Potential payout
- $3.62
- Potential profit
- $0.31
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.5%
- Current value
- $1.21
- Potential payout
- $3.5
- Potential profit
- $2.29
- Multiplier
- 2.90x
- User PnL
- -$0.47
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 62.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.60x
- User PnL
- $0.33
No position
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 23-29?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.32
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.99x
- User PnL
- $0.22
Yes position
Will LAB reach $22 before 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 38.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.60x
- User PnL
- $0.12
T1 position
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Y
Yes position
Iran successfully targets shipping by June 27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 66.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.50x
- User PnL
- -$0.45
N
No position
Iran successfully targets shipping by June 27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.61
Team Liquid position
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Play-In
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.05
No position
No one announced as next James Bond?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Multiplier
- 333.33x
- User PnL
- -$2.34
Deep Cross Gaming position
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Play-In
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.15
Deep Cross Gaming position
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 1 Winner
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$7.35
Team Liquid position
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winner
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$13.77
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult Keir Starmer by June 30, 2026?No 91% 1.85 shares
- Will LAB reach $22 before 2027?Yes 31% 2.91 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?Yes 10% 10.5 shares
- Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?No 91% 1.15 shares
- Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?No 89% 1.18 shares
- New pandemic in 2026?No 91% 1.85 shares
- New pandemic in 2026?No 91% 1.85 shares
- New pandemic in 2026?No 91% 1.85 shares
- New pandemic in 2026?No 91% 1.85 shares
- New pandemic in 2026?No 91% 1.85 shares
- New pandemic in 2026?No 91% 1.85 shares
- Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?No 98.6% 1.7 shares