Yes position
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $599.95
- Potential payout
- $4.8K
- Potential profit
- $4.2K
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$97.93
Polymarket Trader
milize
0x076ca0207aaa48365da2eb6a917edcbdee5e4e7b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $5.44K
- Realized PnL
- $581.36K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.11K
- Potential profit
- $4.11K
- User PnL
- -$4.11
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $2.04K
- Potential payout
- $2.36K
- Potential profit
- $317.93
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $230.7
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $1.14K
- Potential payout
- $1.26K
- Potential profit
- $119.93
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $544.08
Yes position
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $720 on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $622
- Potential profit
- $622
- User PnL
- -$6.21
No position
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $615.01
- Potential profit
- $615.01
- User PnL
- -$416.2
Yes position
Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 35.7%
- Current value
- $214.2
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $385.8
- Multiplier
- 2.80x
- User PnL
- -$336.2
No position
Will inflation reach more than 3.5% in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $506.38
- Potential profit
- $506.38
- User PnL
- -$161.28
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$55
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$170
No position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$180
Yes position
Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $500
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $275
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $72.5
- Potential payout
- $499.99
- Potential profit
- $427.49
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$42.5
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $490
- Potential profit
- $490
- User PnL
- -$220.5
No position
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $715 on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $370
- Potential profit
- $370
- User PnL
- -$134.5
Yes position
Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $340
- Potential profit
- $340
- User PnL
- -$36.2
No position
No one announced as next James Bond?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.4%
- Current value
- $28.11
- Potential payout
- $336.66
- Potential profit
- $308.55
- Multiplier
- 11.98x
- User PnL
- -$113.35
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $300
- User PnL
- -$57
No position
Hantavirus vaccine in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $283.49
- Potential payout
- $299.99
- Potential profit
- $16.5
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $12.86
No position
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Current value
- $108.75
- Potential payout
- $250.01
- Potential profit
- $141.26
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- -$11.25
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 15.6%
- Current value
- $38.88
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $211.13
- Multiplier
- 6.43x
- User PnL
- $10.88
No position
Romanian parliament dissolved by July 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.7%
- Current value
- $239.13
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $10.88
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $11.75
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Current value
- $58.63
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $191.38
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- -$7.38
No position
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 46.5%
- Current value
- $112.58
- Potential payout
- $242.1
- Potential profit
- $129.52
- Multiplier
- 2.15x
- User PnL
- -$10.89
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $331.04K
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $119.97K
Yes position
Will Joe Biden win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
Ends Aug 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $22.68K
Yes position
USA wins the most medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?
Ends Aug 11, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.95K
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.38K
Yes position
Will Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $11.18K
Yes position
Will Mark Kelly be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?
Ends Aug 22, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.08K
Yes position
Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
Ends Aug 19, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.93K
Yes position
Will Roy Cooper be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?
Ends Aug 22, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.79K
Yes position
Will Josh Shapiro be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?
Ends Aug 22, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.61K
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
Ends Aug 19, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.61K
Yes position
Will a Republican win Michigan Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.37K
Yes position
Biden wins the Popular Vote?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.35K
Yes position
Will Trump be Speaker by October 1?
Ends Oct 1, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.36K
Yes position
Will Trump post 11-15 times this week?
Ends Aug 16, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.25K
Yes position
Will a Democrat win North Carolina Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.8K
Yes position
Will a Democrat win Arizona Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.19K
Yes position
Will Edmundo González win the 2024 Venezuela presidential election?
Ends Jul 28, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.78K
Yes position
Will Doug Burgum win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?
Ends Jul 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.63K
Yes position
Will Pete Buttigieg be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?
Ends Aug 22, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.56K
Yes position
Will Andy Beshear be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?
Ends Aug 22, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.35K
No position
Will Lee Jae-myung win between 47% and 49% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.29K
No position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.21K
Yes position
Will Trump post 1-10 times this week?
Ends Aug 16, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $993.8
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?Yes 17% 5 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?No 93.4% 15.21 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?Yes 3.5% 400 shares
- Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.60 in May?No 14.9% 12.5 shares
- Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.60 in May?No 15% 8.35 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 8?Yes 4% 120 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?No 95.9% 28.89 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?No 96% 34.28 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 15?No 87% 5 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 15?No 87% 5 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?No 96.1% 1.82 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes 23% 499.54 shares