No position
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 49%
- Current value
- $640.13
- Potential payout
- $1.31K
- Potential profit
- $666.26
- Multiplier
- 2.04x
- User PnL
- $112.22
Polymarket Trader
iadme
0x0770995e6d1f47e20a696e1c177287556873184b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.46K
- Realized PnL
- $44.97K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 18
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will "Obsession" 4th Weekend Box Office be less than 21m?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $675.06
- Potential profit
- $675.06
- User PnL
- -$29.4
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $600
- User PnL
- -$143.7
No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.2%
- Current value
- $557.29
- Potential payout
- $573.63
- Potential profit
- $16.35
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $57.48
No position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Current value
- $286.47
- Potential payout
- $556.25
- Potential profit
- $269.78
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- -$25.53
No position
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Current value
- $388.72
- Potential payout
- $394.84
- Potential profit
- $6.12
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $60.12
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 64.5%
- Current value
- $193.5
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $106.5
- Multiplier
- 1.55x
- User PnL
- $67.9
No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $274.5
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $25.5
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $10.5
No position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $262.5
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $37.5
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $1.5
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 45.5%
- Current value
- $129.14
- Potential payout
- $283.82
- Potential profit
- $154.68
- Multiplier
- 2.20x
- User PnL
- $39.14
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $261.9
- Potential payout
- $280.1
- Potential profit
- $18.21
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $1.9
No position
Will Marco Rubio attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $249
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $1
- User PnL
- $22.62
OpenAI position
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 24.5%
- Current value
- $60.12
- Potential payout
- $245.39
- Potential profit
- $185.27
- Multiplier
- 4.08x
- User PnL
- $17.32
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100.01
- Potential profit
- $100.01
- User PnL
- -$49
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $73.36
- Potential payout
- $84.81
- Potential profit
- $11.45
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $6.36
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $67.44
- Potential payout
- $74.52
- Potential profit
- $7.08
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $11.84
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $67.29
- Potential profit
- $67.29
- User PnL
- -$50
No position
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 73%
- Current value
- $11.82
- Potential payout
- $16.19
- Potential profit
- $4.37
- Multiplier
- 1.37x
- User PnL
- $0.81
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Călin Georgescu advance to the Romanian Presidential Election Runoff?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.66K
No position
Ethereum above $2,700 on February 21?
Ends Feb 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.86K
Yes position
Ethereum above $2,700 on February 21?
Ends Feb 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.65K
No position
Solana above $145 on March 7?
Ends Mar 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.54K
No position
Bitcoin above $97,000 on February 14?
Ends Feb 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.99K
Yes position
Ethereum above $3,400 on January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.41K
No position
Ethereum above $3,400 on January 24?
Ends Jan 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.11K
No position
Bitcoin above $84,000 on March 7?
Ends Mar 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.96K
Yes position
Bitcoin above $97,000 on February 14?
Ends Feb 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.9K
Yes position
Bitcoin above $105,000 on January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.81K
No position
Ethereum above $2,300 on March 7?
Ends Mar 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.66K
Yes position
Ethereum above $3,400 on January 24?
Ends Jan 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.56K
No position
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
Ends Apr 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.56K
Yes position
Ethereum above $2,700 on February 14?
Ends Feb 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.36K
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $85000 and $87000 on Mar 14?
Ends Mar 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.32K
Yes position
Bitcoin above $97,000 on February 21?
Ends Feb 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.23K
Yes position
Bitcoin above $84,000 on March 7?
Ends Mar 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.18K
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 6?
Ends Apr 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.13K
No position
Bitcoin above $97,000 on February 21?
Ends Feb 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $924.68
No position
Bitcoin above $97,000 on January 10?
Ends Jan 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $896.45
No position
Ethereum above $3,400 on January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $874.6
No position
Bitcoin above $86,000 on April 4?
Ends Apr 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $844.08
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $83000 and $85000 on Mar 14?
Ends Mar 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $801.83
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 8?
Ends Apr 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $740.62
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 94% 106.38 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 94% 63.83 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Yes 96.7% 60 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Yes 73.4% 60 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 91% 109.89 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?No 77% 30 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?No 73% 44.52 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?No 95% 60 shares
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?No 87% 300 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 32% 156.25 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 31.4% 127.57 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No 88% 300 shares