Polymarket Trader

Kiosplay

0x077b97af4f1c14afa57f5fbc50b46931a7cd25ac

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $46.06
Realized PnL: $74
Win rate: 54.2%
Open positions: 3
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $120
Potential profit: $120
User PnL: -$39.6

No position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $26.18
Potential payout: $26.18
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $1.18

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $19.89
Potential payout: $22.47
Potential profit: $2.58
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: -$0.11

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Liverpool wins the Premier League?

Ends May 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.55

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.32

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.75

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.34

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.58

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.86

No position

Will Solana reach $100 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.83

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.71

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 36%
Multiplier: 2.78x
User PnL: $0.33

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.14

Yes position

Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.06

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting?

Ends Mar 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?

Ends Jun 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.04

Yes position

Will Tim Walz be D-nom for VP on Election Day?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.09

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?

Ends Jul 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.22

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2024 meeting?

Ends Nov 7, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.3

Yes position

Will a Republican win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.32

Yes position

Will a Republican win Texas in the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.33

Yes position

Will a Democrat win Michigan Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.33

Yes position

Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?

Ends Jun 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.37

Yes position

2024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R House

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.38

Yes position

2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 65-104

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.49

Yes position

GOP wins popular vote by 0-1%?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.59

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in June?

No 95.5% 26.18 shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Yes 89% 22.47 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 13.8% 60.6 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 18.7% 55.24 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?

No 95% 31.54 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 16.5% 60.61 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 18.1% 55.25 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?

No 57% 24.69 shares
Will Solana reach $100 in April?

No 96% 20.71 shares
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Yes 43% 21.97 shares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?

Yes 99.5% 20.81 shares
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Yes 91% 21.98 shares