No position
Will Elon tweet 325-349 times March 21-28?
Ends Mar 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.72
Polymarket Trader
Esparanza809
0x0788c823b3250104fa410fa60dffbf1d9e8c2bc1
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $2.33
- Win rate
- 66.7%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Latest Resolved Positions
No open position details returned
This trader has an open-position count, but open position cards are not available yet. Showing their latest closed positions instead.
No position
Will Meta have the top AI model on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
No position
Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the Eastern Conference?
Ends Jun 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.24
Yes position
Bitcoin above $83,000 on March 21?
Ends Mar 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be between 65-66°F on March 19?
Ends Mar 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
Will the highest temperature in NYC be 52°F or below on March 18?
Ends Mar 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Elon tweet 325-349 times March 21-28?
Ends Mar 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.72
No position
Will Meta have the top AI model on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
No position
Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the Eastern Conference?
Ends Jun 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.24
Yes position
Bitcoin above $83,000 on March 21?
Ends Mar 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be between 65-66°F on March 19?
Ends Mar 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
Will the highest temperature in NYC be 52°F or below on March 18?
Ends Mar 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
Will Alberta join the US?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Will Elon tweet 250–274 times April 11–18?
Ends Apr 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be between 62-63°F on March 20?
Ends Mar 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 9?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will the Golden State Warriors win the Western Conference?
Ends Jun 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will another coalition form the next German Government?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will Jean-Marc Aveline be the next pope?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will Elon and DOGE cut between $200-250b in federal spending in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Marcel Ciolacu advance to the Romanian Presidential Election Runoff?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.7%
- Multiplier
- 17.54x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Trump pardon Julian Assange in his first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.4%
- Multiplier
- 15.63x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Susie Wiles be out as White House Chief of Staff in Trump's first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No 93.8% 23 shares
- US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes 6.2% 62 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes 6.4% 82 shares
- Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?No 94.4% 39 shares
- US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No 93.8% 32 shares
- US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No 93.5% 41 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?No 57% 68 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes 75% 57 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes 75% 57 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 9?No 97.4% 11 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No 76% 8 shares
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No 96.9% 8 shares