No position
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.34K
- Potential profit
- $1.34K
- User PnL
- -$451.39
Polymarket Trader
0x0789...b90a
0x0789515e1b51b3d49b171d9041437640519bb90a
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $198.68
- Realized PnL
- $743.79
- Win rate
- 80%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 15
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 65.5%
- Current value
- $86.56
- Potential payout
- $132.16
- Potential profit
- $45.6
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- $23.13
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $70.61
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $54.39
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- $4.36
No position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $63.99
- Potential profit
- $63.99
- User PnL
- -$34.49
No position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83%
- Current value
- $41.5
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $8.5
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $15
Yes position
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $28.18
- Potential profit
- $28.18
- User PnL
- -$26.21
Team Aunkere position
Counter-Strike: Team shoke vs Team Aunkere (BO3) - BetBoom Streamers Battle Group B
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$3.8
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.9%
- Multiplier
- 2.57x
- User PnL
- $723.84
Yes position
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.42
Yes position
Will England win on 2026-07-01?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.7
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $12
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- $10.63
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9.05
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.71
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.37
Roman Safiullin position
Wimbledon ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Botic van de Zandschulp
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.71
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.6
Yes position
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
Yes position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 17%
- Multiplier
- 5.88x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
No position
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$26.4
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$32.66
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 39.1% 1,564.75 shares
- Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 5.6% 1,839 shares
- Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?Yes 93% 28.18 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 16.1% 51.2 shares
- Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?Yes 91.1% 3.14 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?Yes 25.5% 3,190.03 shares
- Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 5.2% 145.38 shares
- Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 11.2% 1,053.57 shares
- Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?No 66% 80 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?Yes 29% 285 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?No 43% 59.52 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?Yes 39% 25.64 shares