Polymarket Trader

Thundyr

@mathe_maciel

0x0791ed642affcde8b2c7b709c1545e84b0bf385b

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $8.75
Realized PnL: $3.42K
Win rate: 91.7%
Open positions: 19
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Thunder position

Thunder vs. Spurs

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.58K
Potential profit: $6.58K
User PnL: -$2.7K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.85K
Potential profit: $2.85K
User PnL: -$2.85

Thunder position

Spurs vs. Thunder

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.37K
Potential profit: $2.37K
User PnL: -$1.35K

Spurs position

Knicks vs. Spurs

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.5K
User PnL: -$975

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.1K
Potential profit: $1.1K
User PnL: -$1.1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$449.22

Cavaliers position

Pistons vs. Cavaliers

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $886.07
Potential profit: $886.07
User PnL: -$469.62

Toronto Tempo position

Atlanta Dream vs. Toronto Tempo

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $600
User PnL: -$179.7

Yes position

Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game MVP?

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $499.99
Potential profit: $499.99
User PnL: -$120

Cavaliers position

Cavaliers vs. Thunder

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $390
Potential profit: $390
User PnL: -$230.1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 12 to February 14, 2026?

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $260
Potential profit: $260
User PnL: -$27.95

Yes position

Will LeBron James win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game MVP?

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$9

Nets position

Mavericks vs. Nets

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$46

Yes position

Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 15?

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $98.26
Potential profit: $98.26
User PnL: -$12.77

Yes position

Will there be at least 1,150 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $90
Potential profit: $90
User PnL: -$62.1

Yes position

Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $8.75
Potential payout: $70
Potential profit: $61.25
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$13.65

Yes position

Will Sentimental Value win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $62.78
Potential profit: $62.78
User PnL: -$3.77

Grizzlies position

Warriors vs. Grizzlies

Ends Feb 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$15.6

No position

Will Rastriya Swatantra Party win the most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?

Ends Mar 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.5
Potential profit: $23.5
User PnL: -$7.28

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Thunder position

Spurs vs. Thunder

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.03K

Knicks position

Knicks vs. Cavaliers

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $731

Nuggets position

Celtics vs. Nuggets

Ends Feb 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $407.4

Yes position

Will Anthony Edwards win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game MVP?

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $383.26

Pistons position

Thunder vs. Pistons

Ends Feb 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $142.5

Hornets position

Hornets vs. Bulls

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $117

No position

Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $20 million?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $87.54

Yes position

Will the USA Stars team win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game?

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $85.49

Yes position

Will there be at least 1,100 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70.32

Hawks position

Wizards vs. Hawks

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66

Rockets position

Jazz vs. Rockets

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $65

Heat position

Heat vs. Bucks

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $46.59

Yes position

Will the DHS shutdown last 14 days or more?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.99

No position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 12 to February 14, 2026?

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.7

No position

Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $18 million?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.95

No position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.5

Yes position

Will Nepali Congress win the most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?

Ends Mar 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $20.05

Spurs position

Kings vs. Spurs

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.4

Spurs position

Spurs vs. Pistons

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.4

Yes position

Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.19

Yes position

Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $6 million?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.27

Yes position

Will Lê Minh Hưng be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4

PortlandFire position

Seattle Storm vs. PortlandFire

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Atlanta Dream position

Atlanta Dream vs. Indiana Fever

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Atlanta Dream vs. Indiana Fever

Atlanta Dream 51% 15.71 shares
Dallas Wings vs. Golden State Valkyries

Golden State Valkyries 59% 500 shares
Dallas Wings vs. Golden State Valkyries

Golden State Valkyries 59% 150 shares
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?

Yes 44.9% 1,000 shares
Atlanta Dream vs. Toronto Tempo

Toronto Tempo 30% 600 shares
Knicks vs. Spurs

Spurs 65% 1,500 shares
Knicks vs. Cavaliers

Knicks 57% 1,700 shares
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Yes 0.1% 2,853.87 shares
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?

Yes 0.1% 1,100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?

Yes 0.1% 3,700 shares
Pistons vs. Cavaliers

Cavaliers 53% 898.74 shares
Pistons vs. Cavaliers

Cavaliers 53% 924.42 shares