Yes position
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $2.23K
- Potential payout
- $11.42K
- Potential profit
- $9.19K
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- -$873.36
Polymarket Trader
0x0799d28c9E9ecfE83e910D5469c86005aE7f725c-1776189623521
0x0799d28c9e9ecfe83e910d5469c86005ae7f725c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.38K
- Realized PnL
- $1.57K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 23
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $631.93
- Potential profit
- $631.93
- User PnL
- -$80
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $363.64
- Potential profit
- $363.64
- User PnL
- -$200
Yes position
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 37.5%
- Current value
- $108.17
- Potential payout
- $288.46
- Potential profit
- $180.29
- Multiplier
- 2.67x
- User PnL
- -$41.83
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $270.27
- Potential profit
- $270.27
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $35.62
- Potential payout
- $263.84
- Potential profit
- $228.23
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$14.38
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $244.34
- Potential profit
- $244.34
- User PnL
- -$110
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 3, 2026?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $227.27
- Potential profit
- $227.27
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $204.08
- Potential profit
- $204.08
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $172.78
- Potential profit
- $172.78
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $153.85
- Potential profit
- $153.85
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $150.48
- Potential profit
- $150.48
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $148.06
- Potential profit
- $148.06
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $145.25
- Potential profit
- $145.25
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $125
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $66.67
- Potential profit
- $66.67
- User PnL
- -$10
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $46.47
- Potential profit
- $46.47
- User PnL
- -$0.93
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Current value
- $5.23
- Potential payout
- $23.26
- Potential profit
- $18.02
- Multiplier
- 4.44x
- User PnL
- -$4.77
Over position
Spurs vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 218.5
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $21.44
- Potential profit
- $21.44
- User PnL
- -$3.9
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.29
- Potential profit
- $17.29
- User PnL
- -$9.68
Yes position
Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.49
- Potential profit
- $11.49
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.87
- Potential profit
- $10.87
- User PnL
- -$4.35
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.64
- Potential profit
- $9.64
- User PnL
- -$4.82
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $563.09
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $171.32
Yes position
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $136.06
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $112.53
Yes position
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100
No position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.67
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64.48
No position
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.71
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59.94
Yes position
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.59
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.1
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.78
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.08
No position
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.67
No position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.19
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.09
No position
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.86
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.84
No position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.61
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.12
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.47
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 28?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.47
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.1
No position
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.09
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Yes 27.1% 11,418.61 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes 77.5% 763.95 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes 15.2% 763.94 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country?Yes 3.4% 1,435.75 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria?Yes 0.3% 1,088.06 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria?Yes 3.1% 323.15 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country?Yes 3.5% 1,435.76 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria?Yes 6.5% 764.92 shares
- Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes 54% 92.59 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes 44.9% 239.43 shares
- Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?Yes 10.3% 290.73 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?No 97.3% 114.94 shares