No position
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 92.9%
- Current value
- $57.39K
- Potential payout
- $61.81K
- Potential profit
- $4.42K
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $228.2
Polymarket Trader
1dad
0x07aa130f25e9f8aad138fa12de8e1bce7455e110
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $113.08K
- Realized PnL
- $280.69
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 2
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $52.65K
- Potential payout
- $58.18K
- Potential profit
- $5.53K
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $3.78K
No position
Bill Gates charged by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $3.04K
- Potential payout
- $3.06K
- Potential profit
- $13.75
- User PnL
- $139.04
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$27
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $182.96
Yes position
Will Artemis II launch by April 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $97.73
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No 92.5% 61,186.21 shares
- Will Artemis II launch by April 30?Yes 96.8% 3,084.21 shares
- Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No 91.7% 100 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 84% 58,178.06 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?No 99.7% 60,182.93 shares