Polymarket Trader

ragnarok2

0x07b3098fac961f67d019a939bd6bcf3e6a55cdfb

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $681.24
Realized PnL: $1.88K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 51.5%
Current value: $527.87
Potential payout: $1.02K
Potential profit: $497.12
Multiplier: 1.94x
User PnL: -$155.84

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $109.79
Potential payout: $258.32
Potential profit: $148.53
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: -$34.87

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $92.3
Potential profit: $92.3
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.3%
Current value: $9.07
Potential payout: $88.5
Potential profit: $79.42
Multiplier: 9.76x
User PnL: -$0.93

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $7.69
Potential payout: $61.73
Potential profit: $54.04
Multiplier: 8.03x
User PnL: -$2.31

No position

Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 50.5%
Current value: $26.83
Potential payout: $53.13
Potential profit: $26.3
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: -$0.8

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 26-27°F on March 1?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 27, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.05
Potential profit: $19.05
User PnL: -$4.95

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - March 21, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.59
Potential profit: $17.59
User PnL: -$9.85

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - March 2, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.13
Potential profit: $14.13
User PnL: -$9.89

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - March 1, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.05
Potential profit: $13.05
User PnL: -$9.92

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - March 2, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.99
Potential profit: $11.99
User PnL: -$9.95

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - March 1, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.72
Potential profit: $11.72
User PnL: -$9.96

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - March 2, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.21
Potential profit: $11.21
User PnL: -$9.98

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - March 21, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.85
Potential profit: $10.85
User PnL: -$9.99

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - March 2, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.74
Potential profit: $10.74
User PnL: -$9.99

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - March 21, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.74
Potential profit: $10.74
User PnL: -$9.99

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - March 1, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.63
Potential profit: $10.63
User PnL: -$9.99

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - March 1, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.52
Potential profit: $10.52
User PnL: -$9.99

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - March 1, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.41
Potential profit: $10.41
User PnL: -$10

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - March 2, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.31
Potential profit: $10.31
User PnL: -$10

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - March 21, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.31
Potential profit: $10.31
User PnL: -$10

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.95
Potential profit: $8.95
User PnL: -$4.92

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET

Ends Feb 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.21
Potential profit: $8.21
User PnL: -$4.93

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Bitcoin above $100,000 on December 13?

Ends Dec 13, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $320.8

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $256.4

Yes position

Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?

Ends Dec 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $186.39

Yes position

Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?

Ends Apr 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $152.6

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $90.25

Yes position

Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $81.5

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $80.94

Yes position

US recession in 2025?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $78.93

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75.47

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $4800 in October?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $58.8

Yes position

Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.41

Yes position

Fed emergency rate cut in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $45.6

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.55

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $3100 in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.35

Sean Strickland position

UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.85

No position

US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.69

Yes position

Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $28.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.59

Yes position

Will Jannik Sinner win Wimbledon 2025?

Ends Jul 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26

Yes position

Will NIKE (NKE) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.84

Yes position

US-China trade deal before June?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.82

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will England win on 2026-06-23?

Yes 84% 6.7 shares
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?

Yes 99.7% 6.73 shares
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?

Yes 86% 6.73 shares
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Yes 4% 136.98 shares
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?

No 52% 53.13 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 18.1% 55.86 shares
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Yes 7.3% 136.99 shares
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 9.1% 90.9 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 8.1% 133.33 shares
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 8.8% 90.91 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 8.7% 114.94 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 7.5% 133.33 shares