Polymarket Trader

Yackydud3

@4670de2475d64cd

0x07bcd0c8580799ef9bedc69b2d0456a86e17b413

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $4.05K
Realized PnL: $1.4K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 75.5%
Current value: $634.24
Potential payout: $840.05
Potential profit: $205.81
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: -$0.31

Yes position

Will England reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 60%
Current value: $388.6
Potential payout: $647.66
Potential profit: $259.07
Multiplier: 1.67x
User PnL: $22.96

No position

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 73.5%
Current value: $390.24
Potential payout: $530.94
Potential profit: $140.7
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: $57.53

No position

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 69.5%
Current value: $313.99
Potential payout: $451.85
Potential profit: $137.86
Multiplier: 1.44x
User PnL: $67.32

No position

Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 60%
Current value: $260.29
Potential payout: $433.82
Potential profit: $173.53
Multiplier: 1.67x
User PnL: $38.36

No position

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 65%
Current value: $274.07
Potential payout: $421.65
Potential profit: $147.58
Multiplier: 1.54x
User PnL: -$13.66

Yes position

Will GameStop acquire eBay?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12%
Current value: $47.28
Potential payout: $393.97
Potential profit: $346.7
Multiplier: 8.33x
User PnL: -$17.22

No position

Will the U.S. lift direct Iran OFAC sanctions by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $72.46
Potential payout: $353.48
Potential profit: $281.01
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: -$108.75

No position

GTA 6 launch postponed again?

Ends Nov 19, 2026

Implied probability: 86%
Current value: $219.12
Potential payout: $254.79
Potential profit: $35.67
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $28.95

No position

Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $221.12
Potential payout: $252.71
Potential profit: $31.59
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $23.86

Yes position

Will England reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 79.5%
Current value: $184.94
Potential payout: $232.62
Potential profit: $47.69
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $5.64

No position

Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 90.3%
Current value: $182.03
Potential payout: $201.69
Potential profit: $19.66
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $18.36

Yes position

Will England reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 39.5%
Current value: $71.78
Potential payout: $181.73
Potential profit: $109.95
Multiplier: 2.53x
User PnL: $0.91

Yes position

SpaceX IPO: Will Elon Musk Ring the Bell?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $163.84
Potential profit: $163.84
User PnL: -$109.64

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $163.04
Potential profit: $163.04
User PnL: -$97.59

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $137.52
Potential payout: $153.65
Potential profit: $16.13
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $11.52

No position

Kash Patel out by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $141.6
Potential payout: $149.84
Potential profit: $8.24
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $15.6

No position

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 85%
Current value: $122.2
Potential payout: $143.76
Potential profit: $21.56
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $10.7

No position

U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 77%
Current value: $107.37
Potential payout: $139.44
Potential profit: $32.07
Multiplier: 1.30x
User PnL: $8.37

No position

Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 63%
Current value: $66.36
Potential payout: $105.34
Potential profit: $38.98
Multiplier: 1.59x
User PnL: $3.31

No position

Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $84.53
Potential payout: $105
Potential profit: $20.47
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $13.68

No position

Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 32%
Current value: $27.31
Potential payout: $85.34
Potential profit: $58.03
Multiplier: 3.13x
User PnL: $4.04

Yes position

Will Cristiano Ronaldo score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 78.5%
Current value: $57.61
Potential payout: $73.39
Potential profit: $15.78
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: -$2.73

Yes position

Will Portugal reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 71.5%
Current value: $44.15
Potential payout: $61.75
Potential profit: $17.6
Multiplier: 1.40x
User PnL: -$2.5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
User PnL: $251.38

No position

Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $96.36

No position

Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $92.32

No position

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69.14

No position

U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $67.89

No position

U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by March 31?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.58

Yes position

Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.28

No position

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 93.6%
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $61.58

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.26

No position

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.9%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $54.48

No position

U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.26

No position

Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.31

No position

Kash Patel out by April 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.42

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.28

No position

Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.7%
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $40.77

Alexander Zverev position

Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverev

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.28

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.03

No position

Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.3

No position

Will Silver (SI) settle over $120 on the final trading day of January 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.12

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
User PnL: $32.12

No position

Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.8

No position

Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
User PnL: $23.34

No position

U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.21

No position

Will Powell say "Inflation" 60+ times during January press conference?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.71

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?

No 26% 12 shares
Will England reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 39% 38.46 shares
Will England reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 39% 48.72 shares
Will England reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 39% 94.55 shares
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?

No 27% 33.33 shares
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?

No 27% 5 shares
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?

No 28% 30 shares
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?

No 9% 46.99 shares
Will the U.S. lift direct Iran OFAC sanctions by June 30, 2026?

No 33.7% 11.76 shares
Will England reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 79% 6.33 shares
Will England reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 63% 23.81 shares
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

No 81% 18.52 shares