Polymarket Trader

wavesinthesky

0x07d126ea6f8542a58ee2c4c7c31535dd9b3e8ffa

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $977.1
Realized PnL: $5K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $25.93
Potential payout: $17.28K
Potential profit: $17.26K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$79.63

Yes position

Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $8.19
Potential payout: $16.39K
Potential profit: $16.38K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$43.98

Yes position

Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $8.17
Potential payout: $16.34K
Potential profit: $16.33K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$94.19

Yes position

Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $5.77
Potential payout: $11.53K
Potential profit: $11.53K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$34.93

Yes position

Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $5.25
Potential payout: $10.49K
Potential profit: $10.49K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$17.47

Yes position

Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $4.75
Potential payout: $9.5K
Potential profit: $9.5K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$10.24

Yes position

Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $2.83
Potential payout: $5.66K
Potential profit: $5.65K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$13.83

Yes position

Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,000 (HIGH) in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $45.76
Potential payout: $4.82K
Potential profit: $4.77K
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: -$185.81

Yes position

Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $5.03
Potential payout: $3.36K
Potential profit: $3.35K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$10.41

Yes position

Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1.42
Potential payout: $2.83K
Potential profit: $2.83K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$5.58

Yes position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 3.3%
Current value: $87.44
Potential payout: $2.65K
Potential profit: $2.56K
Multiplier: 30.30x
User PnL: -$191.82

Yes position

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.7%
Current value: $67.49
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.43K
Multiplier: 37.04x
User PnL: -$447.13

Yes position

Will Meta have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $9.1
Potential payout: $2.02K
Potential profit: $2.01K
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$42.81

Yes position

Will Alibaba have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $7.02
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$0.3

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $29.22
Potential payout: $1.77K
Potential profit: $1.74K
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: -$55.52

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 3.4%
Current value: $54
Potential payout: $1.61K
Potential profit: $1.56K
Multiplier: 29.85x
User PnL: -$46.09

Yes position

Will Google be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.9%
Current value: $70.41
Potential payout: $1.44K
Potential profit: $1.37K
Multiplier: 20.41x
User PnL: -$67.43

Yes position

Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,000 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $16.04
Potential payout: $1.39K
Potential profit: $1.38K
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: -$7.41

Yes position

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $283.16
Potential payout: $1.38K
Potential profit: $1.1K
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: -$31.4

Yes position

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.3%
Current value: $110.84
Potential payout: $1.34K
Potential profit: $1.22K
Multiplier: 12.05x
User PnL: -$0.37

Yes position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $6.32
Potential payout: $1.15K
Potential profit: $1.14K
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$57.2

Yes position

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $93.5
Potential payout: $1.1K
Potential profit: $1.01K
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$122.14

Yes position

Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,400 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $8.32
Potential payout: $1.04K
Potential profit: $1.03K
Multiplier: 125.00x
User PnL: -$9.18

Yes position

Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,850 (HIGH) in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $21.16
Potential payout: $1.01K
Potential profit: $986.61
Multiplier: 47.62x
User PnL: -$88.27

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $531.11

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $506.71

Down position

Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 7?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $394.97

Yes position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $294.58

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $287.98

Up position

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 7?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $247.65

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of May 4 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $240.21

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $237.99

Over position

Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 7.5

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $200.57

Yes position

Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $175.59

Yes position

Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $168.84

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $166.97

Over position

Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 6.5

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $161.56

Yes position

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $97 on May 7?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $156.83

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of June 8 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $153.31

Yes position

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $730 Week of May 4 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $152.38

Yes position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 59.5%
Multiplier: 1.68x
User PnL: $134.86

Yes position

Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $126.78

Yes position

Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 12-15%?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $114.88

Yes position

Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,050 (HIGH) in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $113.32

Yes position

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $110.04

Yes position

Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $450 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $108.38

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $107.04

Yes position

Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,450 (HIGH) in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $103.03

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 in June?

Yes 18% 35 shares
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,700 (HIGH) in June?

Yes 23.3% 7.17 shares
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,700 (HIGH) in June?

Yes 23.5% 7.17 shares
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,700 (HIGH) in June?

Yes 23.6% 15 shares
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 in June?

Yes 18% 50 shares
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?

Yes 14% 100 shares
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?

Yes 14% 100 shares
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,700 (HIGH) in June?

Yes 23% 29.22 shares
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in June?

Yes 4.1% 105.01 shares
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in June?

Yes 4.1% 100 shares
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 in June?

Yes 18% 5 shares
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 Week of June 15 2026?

Yes 17% 10 shares