Yes position
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $343.5
- Potential payout
- $98.14K
- Potential profit
- $97.8K
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$514.27
Polymarket Trader
Wojtek
@KrasnalWojtek
0x07d4245464dc4fa05d0b3f084d82482462dc8991
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $4.07K
- Realized PnL
- $171.56K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $25.47
- Potential payout
- $50.93K
- Potential profit
- $50.91K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$220.49
Yes position
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $126.93
- Potential payout
- $50.77K
- Potential profit
- $50.64K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$196.48
Yes position
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $49.85
- Potential payout
- $49.85K
- Potential profit
- $49.8K
- Multiplier
- 1000.00x
- User PnL
- -$74.08
Yes position
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $17.02
- Potential payout
- $34.03K
- Potential profit
- $34.01K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$70.75
Yes position
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $16.87
- Potential payout
- $33.74K
- Potential profit
- $33.73K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$81.82
Yes position
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $203.99
- Potential payout
- $21.47K
- Potential profit
- $21.27K
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- -$822.99
Yes position
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $30.32
- Potential payout
- $20.21K
- Potential profit
- $20.18K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$26.94
Yes position
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $10
- Potential payout
- $20K
- Potential profit
- $19.99K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$23.62
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 5.2%
- Current value
- $872.59
- Potential payout
- $16.94K
- Potential profit
- $16.07K
- Multiplier
- 19.42x
- User PnL
- $335.23
Yes position
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.2%
- Current value
- $311.43
- Potential payout
- $14.16K
- Potential profit
- $13.84K
- Multiplier
- 45.45x
- User PnL
- $64.1
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 7.1%
- Current value
- $716.09
- Potential payout
- $10.1K
- Potential profit
- $9.38K
- Multiplier
- 14.10x
- User PnL
- $235.72
Yes position
Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $75.01
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $9.93K
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$318.91
Yes position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 5.7%
- Current value
- $562.17
- Potential payout
- $9.95K
- Potential profit
- $9.39K
- Multiplier
- 17.70x
- User PnL
- -$27.92
Yes position
Will DeepSeek have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $22.24
- Potential payout
- $8.89K
- Potential profit
- $8.87K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$80.54
Yes position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $4.35
- Potential payout
- $8.7K
- Potential profit
- $8.7K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$31.09
Yes position
Will Moonshot have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $33.81
- Potential payout
- $8.45K
- Potential profit
- $8.42K
- Multiplier
- 250.00x
- User PnL
- $21.14
Yes position
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $88.16
- Potential payout
- $8.01K
- Potential profit
- $7.93K
- Multiplier
- 90.91x
- User PnL
- -$456.02
Yes position
Will Z.ai have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $55.99
- Potential payout
- $8K
- Potential profit
- $7.94K
- Multiplier
- 142.86x
- User PnL
- $34.59
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $164.74
- Potential payout
- $7.7K
- Potential profit
- $7.53K
- Multiplier
- 46.73x
- User PnL
- -$99.5
Yes position
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $35.63
- Potential payout
- $7.13K
- Potential profit
- $7.09K
- Multiplier
- 200.00x
- User PnL
- -$48.57
Yes position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $31.27
- Potential payout
- $6.95K
- Potential profit
- $6.92K
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$66.25
Yes position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $10.2
- Potential payout
- $6.8K
- Potential profit
- $6.79K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$32.22
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.1%
- Current value
- $266.99
- Potential payout
- $6.59K
- Potential profit
- $6.33K
- Multiplier
- 24.69x
- User PnL
- $122.12
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US bank failure by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.7K
Yes position
Trump wins 312-226 - swing state sweep
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.66K
Yes position
US bank failure by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.54K
Yes position
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 65-104
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.84K
Yes position
Solana flips ETH in daily fees in July?
Ends Jul 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.99K
Yes position
Trump wins every swing state?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.79K
No position
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.72K
Yes position
Will Trump announce strategic Bitcoin reserve?
Ends Jul 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.64K
Yes position
Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.18K
Yes position
Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.83K
Yes position
Will Trump win 7 swing states?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.43K
Yes position
Will Biden drop out on July 21?
Ends Jul 20, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.59K
Yes position
Trump flips Kamala on Nate Silver's Bulletin?
Ends Aug 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.56K
Yes position
Will the Republican candidate win Pennsylvania by 1.5%-2.0%?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.41K
Yes position
Will Trump launch a coin before the election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.64K
Yes position
Trump declassifies Epstein list in first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.43K
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.92K
Yes position
Will Karol Nawrocki win by 0-4%?
Ends Jun 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.89K
Yes position
Biden drops out in July?
Ends Jul 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.84K
Yes position
GOP wins popular vote by 1-2%?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.66K
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
Ends Aug 19, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.57K
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.48K
Yes position
X banned in Brazil by Friday?
Ends Aug 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.43K
Yes position
Trump releases Epstein list today?
Ends Feb 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.81K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 2.2% 295 shares
- Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 3.1% 5 shares
- Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 0.2% 2,000 shares
- Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 0.1% 6,880.69 shares
- Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 0.2% 2,000 shares
- Will ByteDance have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 0.2% 157.53 shares
- Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 0.5% 157.53 shares
- Will Alibaba have the best Coding AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 0.3% 102.8 shares
- Will Alibaba have the best Coding AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 0.2% 77.74 shares
- Will Moonshot have the best Coding AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 0.3% 130 shares
- Will Alibaba have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 0.2% 1,548.83 shares
- Will Z.ai have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 0.2% 150 shares