No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $2.5K
- Potential payout
- $2.67K
- Potential profit
- $173.81
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $124.02
Polymarket Trader
tytryrt
0x07e099ae8cc4811b6bbeed81fbf011fedc93e1e8
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.31K
- Realized PnL
- $850.8
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $553
- Potential profit
- $553
- User PnL
- -$519.62
No position
Iran leadership change by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $152.1
- Potential payout
- $179.99
- Potential profit
- $27.9
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $31.8
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $152.15
- Potential payout
- $170
- Potential profit
- $17.85
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $2.55
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $107.63
- Potential payout
- $123
- Potential profit
- $15.38
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $16.15
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.4%
- Current value
- $87.57
- Potential payout
- $105
- Potential profit
- $17.43
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $54.07
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $80
- Potential profit
- $80
- User PnL
- -$55.9
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $74
- Potential profit
- $74
- User PnL
- -$67.26
No position
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $63.35
- Potential payout
- $70
- Potential profit
- $6.65
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $3.85
No position
US strike on Mexico by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84%
- Current value
- $58.8
- Potential payout
- $70
- Potential profit
- $11.2
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $7.7
No position
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.9%
- Current value
- $55.02
- Potential payout
- $58
- Potential profit
- $2.99
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $1.42
No position
Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$3.5
No position
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $35.8
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $4.2
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $2
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Current value
- $1.06
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $28.94
- Multiplier
- 28.25x
- User PnL
- -$0.23
No position
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.8%
- Current value
- $26.93
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $3.07
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $2.18
No position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $25
- User PnL
- -$16.6
No position
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $17.9
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $2.1
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $1.35
No position
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $16.7
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $3.3
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 6.8%
- Current value
- $1.35
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $18.65
- Multiplier
- 14.81x
- User PnL
- -$0.15
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $19.99
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $7.19
Yes position
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.5
- Potential profit
- $19.5
- User PnL
- -$14.63
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17
- Potential profit
- $17
- User PnL
- -$5.1
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $15
- User PnL
- -$5.85
No position
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94%
- Current value
- $14.1
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $0.9
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $1.2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $164.83
Yes position
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $82.84
No position
Iran leadership change by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.43
No position
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.88
No position
Iran leadership change by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.05
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.54
No position
Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by March 31?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.97
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 14?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.53
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.4
Yes position
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $430 end of January?
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.18
Yes position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $27.1
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.3
No position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $23.88
No position
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.74
No position
Will Tempo launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $23.52
Yes position
Hyperliquid listed on Binance in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- $22.28
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.14
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.79
No position
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.65
No position
Netanyahu out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.28
No position
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.96
No position
Iran leadership change by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.76
Yes position
Will JD Gaming win the LPL 2026 season?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.4%
- Multiplier
- 8.10x
- User PnL
- $16.67
Yes position
Will the Bank of Canada announce no change at the March meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.07
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No 91% 700 shares
- Will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026?No 98.1% 43 shares
- Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5Over 43% 7 shares
- Steve Bannon exonerated by June 30?Yes 22% 5 shares
- Starmer out by July 31, 2026?No 63% 5 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 98% 680 shares
- Will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026?No 98% 80 shares
- Will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026?No 97.9% 27.8 shares
- Will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026?No 96.7% 35 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No 87% 460 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 97.6% 430 shares
- Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes 17% 10 shares