No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $9.33K
- Potential payout
- $9.36K
- Potential profit
- $32.77
- User PnL
- $129.87
Polymarket Trader
CP-directional
0x07e156cddecececf9404595aedddf7e1eece27af
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $62.56K
- Realized PnL
- $385.9
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $6.01K
- Potential payout
- $6.04K
- Potential profit
- $39.29
- User PnL
- $155.33
No position
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $4.71K
- Potential payout
- $4.74K
- Potential profit
- $26.07
- User PnL
- $113.52
No position
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Current value
- $4.6K
- Potential payout
- $4.64K
- Potential profit
- $46.42
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $105.67
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $4.61K
- Potential payout
- $4.62K
- Potential profit
- $11.56
- User PnL
- $71.07
No position
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $3.92K
- Potential payout
- $3.94K
- Potential profit
- $23.66
- User PnL
- $19.78
No position
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $2.52K
- Potential payout
- $2.54K
- Potential profit
- $13.96
- User PnL
- $24.92
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $2.28K
- Potential payout
- $2.52K
- Potential profit
- $239.76
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $84.03
No position
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 97.2%
- Current value
- $2.36K
- Potential payout
- $2.43K
- Potential profit
- $67.92
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $76.99
No position
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Current value
- $2.21K
- Potential payout
- $2.24K
- Potential profit
- $31.4
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $11.48
No position
Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Current value
- $2K
- Potential payout
- $2.03K
- Potential profit
- $26.36
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $1.57
No position
Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.4%
- Current value
- $1.99K
- Potential payout
- $2.03K
- Potential profit
- $33.42
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$8.05
No position
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $1.91K
- Potential payout
- $1.93K
- Potential profit
- $12.52
- User PnL
- $13.49
No position
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $1.92K
- Potential payout
- $1.92K
- Potential profit
- $8.66
- User PnL
- $15.76
No position
Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Current value
- $1.59K
- Potential payout
- $1.62K
- Potential profit
- $21.82
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- -$5.65
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $1.61K
- Potential payout
- $1.61K
- Potential profit
- $8.88
- User PnL
- $5.97
No position
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Current value
- $1.41K
- Potential payout
- $1.42K
- Potential profit
- $16.36
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $6.67
No position
French election called by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $1.3K
- Potential payout
- $1.31K
- Potential profit
- $9.83
- User PnL
- $0.87
No position
JD Vance out as VP by June 30?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $1.21K
- Potential payout
- $1.21K
- Potential profit
- $4.25
- User PnL
- $8.87
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $1.12K
- Potential payout
- $1.13K
- Potential profit
- $3.95
- User PnL
- $24.14
No position
U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.3%
- Current value
- $1.08K
- Potential payout
- $1.11K
- Potential profit
- $30.56
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- -$19.23
No position
Pluto reclassified as a planet by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $1.01K
- Potential payout
- $1.01K
- Potential profit
- $3.54
- User PnL
- $8.2
No position
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.9%
- Current value
- $959.56
- Potential payout
- $1.01K
- Potential profit
- $51.57
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- -$40.43
No position
Russian strike on Poland by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Current value
- $898.21
- Potential payout
- $911.43
- Potential profit
- $13.22
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- -$1.79
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $99.84
No position
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.89
No position
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.59
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.72
No position
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.06
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.16
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.67
No position
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.26
No position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.47
No position
Will India send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.86
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 28, 2026?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.54
No position
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.31
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.68
No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.96
No position
Will Pakistan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.43
No position
Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $7.04
No position
Iran leadership change by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.46
No position
Will the United Arab Emirates send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.97
No position
Will Bahrain send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.85
No position
Israel closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.59
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.84
No position
Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.41
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.21
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.08
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?No 99.5% 201.11 shares
- Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by June 30?No 99% 303.03 shares
- Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by June 30?No 99% 404.04 shares
- Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by June 30?No 99% 909.09 shares
- Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?No 99.3% 503.41 shares
- U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by June 30?No 99% 504.89 shares
- U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by June 30?No 98.9% 606.45 shares
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No 98.3% 610.23 shares
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?No 98% 306.06 shares
- Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?No 99.3% 402.82 shares
- Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?No 99.3% 503.52 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 99.6% 102.24 shares