Polymarket Trader

Damndaniel3044

0x07f05fc09ebc70b6c77b0073faf8836963829ab0

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $119.33
Realized PnL: $149.15
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $2.95
Potential payout: $655.56
Potential profit: $652.61
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$3.05

No position

Another GTA VI trailer released by June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 37.5%
Current value: $59.8
Potential payout: $159.48
Potential profit: $99.67
Multiplier: 2.67x
User PnL: -$0.2

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.1%
Current value: $16.35
Potential payout: $81.52
Potential profit: $65.18
Multiplier: 4.99x
User PnL: $1.35

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.9%
Current value: $8.66
Potential payout: $62.5
Potential profit: $53.84
Multiplier: 7.22x
User PnL: -$1.34

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.6%
Current value: $10.85
Potential payout: $58.48
Potential profit: $47.63
Multiplier: 5.39x
User PnL: $0.85

No position

Another GTA VI trailer released by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 33%
Current value: $16.8
Potential payout: $50.92
Potential profit: $34.12
Multiplier: 3.03x
User PnL: -$2.2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$1

No position

GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.1%
Current value: $3.92
Potential payout: $43.1
Potential profit: $39.18
Multiplier: 10.99x
User PnL: $2.67

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $37.04
Potential profit: $37.04
User PnL: -$2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31.11
Potential profit: $31.11
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.41
Potential profit: $29.41
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.87
Potential profit: $18.87
User PnL: -$10

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.86
Potential profit: $17.86
User PnL: -$10

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.24
Potential profit: $17.24
User PnL: -$5

Thunder position

Spurs vs. Thunder

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.24
Potential profit: $17.24
User PnL: -$10

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $16.67
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.63
Potential profit: $15.63
User PnL: -$10

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $14.29
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $14.29
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $14.29
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.24

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.91

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.38

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.08

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.03

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.66

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.73

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.8

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.63

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.26

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.95

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.84

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.73

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.73

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.47

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.39

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.3

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.26

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.22

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.14

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.11

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.01

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Another GTA VI trailer released by June 30?

No 22.3% 22.4 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET

Up 17% 5.88 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET

Up 30% 3.33 shares
Another GTA VI trailer released by June 26?

No 27.8% 36 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Yes 27% 3.7 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 34% 2.94 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET

Down 15% 6.67 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET

Down 29% 3.45 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET

Up 68% 2.85 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET

Up 35% 2.86 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET

Down 39.1% 3.7 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET

Down 27% 3.7 shares