Polymarket Trader

0x07F2E143083C4aBFC2506c595c9f6fD5Ad1AeE29-1774963899850

0x07f2e143083c4abfc2506c595c9f6fd5ad1aee29

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $49.5
Realized PnL: $273.39
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 22?

Ends Jul 22, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $49.5
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $250.5
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: $19.83

Yes position

Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1460 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $151.87
Potential profit: $151.87
User PnL: -$10

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.28

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.06

Max Holloway position

UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.89

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.88

No position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $14.18

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 23, 2026?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.34

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.76

No position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.67

Yes position

Will Ted Cruz post 160-179 posts from April 17 to April 24, 2026?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.37

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.6

No position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026?

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.2

No position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.04

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.44

No position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.23

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 18 to April 20, 2026?

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.16

No position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.4

Yes position

Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.11

No position

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.91

Yes position

Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.75

No position

US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.54

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 16, 2026?

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.2

No position

Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from April 17 to April 24, 2026?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.1

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026?

Yes 96.7% 520 shares
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 22?

Yes 9.9% 300 shares
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)

Max Holloway 72% 138.89 shares
Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1460 by December 31, 2026?

Yes 6.6% 151.87 shares
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

No 0.1% 2,000 shares
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

No 0.1% 1,000 shares
Game 1: Ends in Daytime?

Yes 96% 1.04 shares
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?

Yes 0.2% 3,500 shares
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?

Yes 59% 11.66 shares
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?

Yes 44% 11.33 shares
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?

Yes 0.2% 1,000 shares
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?

Yes 0.2% 500 shares