Polymarket Trader

alpaxx

0x07fe08d4cec97936aaf51aef2d0c74b51874d894

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $123.22
Realized PnL: $922.77
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 73.5%
Current value: $123.22
Potential payout: $167.65
Potential profit: $44.43
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: $4.19

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 24, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET

Ends Nov 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $99.23

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 24, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET

Ends Nov 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $90.86

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - November 24, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET

Ends Nov 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.62

Marco Trungelliti position

Kigali 2: Marco Trungelliti vs Zdenek Kolar

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.91

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 22, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET

Ends Dec 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.81

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - November 24, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET

Ends Nov 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.05

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 24, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET

Ends Nov 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.36

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - November 24, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET

Ends Nov 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.16

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 24, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET

Ends Nov 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.47

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 24, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET

Ends Nov 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.45

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - November 24, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET

Ends Nov 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.42

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - November 24, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET

Ends Nov 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.09

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 24, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET

Ends Nov 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.44

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - November 24, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET

Ends Nov 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.23

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 24, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET

Ends Nov 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.7

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 24, 2PM ET

Ends Nov 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.24

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 22, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET

Ends Dec 22, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $26.19

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 24, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET

Ends Nov 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.81

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - November 24, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET

Ends Nov 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.69

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 24, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET

Ends Nov 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.56

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - November 24, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET

Ends Nov 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.62

HyperSpirit position

Counter-Strike: Brute vs HyperSpirit (BO3)

Ends Jan 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.82

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 24, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET

Ends Nov 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.8

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 24, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET

Ends Nov 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.22

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

No 71% 167.65 shares
Cap Cana: Adam Walton vs Mattia Bellucci

Adam Walton 37% 54.05 shares
Phoenix: Corentin Moutet vs Marcos Giron

Corentin Moutet 44% 50 shares
Cap Cana: Adam Walton vs Mattia Bellucci

Adam Walton 36% 108.1 shares
Kigali 2: Marco Trungelliti vs Zdenek Kolar

Marco Trungelliti 44% 90.91 shares
Cap Cana: Adam Walton vs Mattia Bellucci

Adam Walton 37% 108.11 shares
Hersonissos 2: Stefan Dostanic vs Toby Samuel

Stefan Dostanic 35% 114.29 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET

Down 49% 15.85 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET

Down 99% 2.66 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET

Up 70.3% 28.13 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET

Down 37% 2.67 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET

Down 99% 26.51 shares