No position
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $211.12
- Potential profit
- $211.12
- User PnL
- -$199.45
Polymarket Trader
iyjkhnhgy
0x081173222214942c05d2c6cca1e75bd7b3015766
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $281.73
- Realized PnL
- $257.14
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $174.85
- Potential profit
- $174.85
- User PnL
- -$171
Yes position
Will the ECB announce no change at the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.3%
- Current value
- $170.61
- Potential payout
- $173.65
- Potential profit
- $3.04
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.61
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by July 17, 2026?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $111.13
- Potential payout
- $111.13
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $1.13
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $118.36
Yes position
Liverpool wins the Premier League?
Ends May 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40
BNK FEARX position
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Team Secret Whales (BO5) - First Stand Group A
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.6
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.2
Over position
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 196.5
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.89
No position
Will xAI have the top AI model on September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.05
No position
Will BNB dip to $300 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.75
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.63
No position
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 7?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.44
No position
Record turnout in 2024 Presidential election?
Ends Dec 17, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.91
No position
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.71
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 7?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.64
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.63
Yes position
Bitcoin above $106,000 on July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.86
No position
Will Bitcoin hit $250k in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.62
No position
Will Elon tweet less than 90 times June 27–July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.56
No position
Will Dogecoin dip to $0.05 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.36
Yes position
Ethereum above $2,400 on June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.31
No position
Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.3
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $104,000 on October 20?
Ends Oct 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.9
No position
Netanyahu out by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.73
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.71
No position
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the December meeting?
Ends Dec 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.51
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.47
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the ECB announce no change at the July 2026 meeting?Yes 97.9% 173.65 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by July 17, 2026?Yes 99% 111.13 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 98.5% 101.47 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?No 99.5% 161.81 shares
- Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 196.5Over 91% 109.89 shares
- Netanyahu out by May 31?No 98.7% 131.73 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?No 98.7% 131.71 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?No 82% 62.2 shares
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Rio Group AVitality 66% 86.74 shares
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Rio Group AVitality 92% 86.54 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?No 94.5% 210.53 shares
- France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?No 98.6% 264.71 shares