No position
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Current value
- $788.4
- Potential payout
- $800
- Potential profit
- $11.6
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $28.4
Polymarket Trader
bowen-nb
0x08141e126e884d921342bdb8618c5e44fe89e35e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.81K
- Realized PnL
- $3.02K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.2%
- Current value
- $767.28
- Potential payout
- $798
- Potential profit
- $30.72
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $33.35
No position
Will SpaceX IPO on June 12, 2026?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $629.67
- Potential profit
- $629.67
- User PnL
- -$13.22
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $555.69
- Potential profit
- $555.69
- User PnL
- -$11.27
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $299.96
- Potential profit
- $299.96
- User PnL
- -$92.99
Yes position
Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?
Ends Jul 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.3%
- Current value
- $134.66
- Potential payout
- $136.99
- Potential profit
- $2.33
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $3.15
Yes position
Will John Pardon win the 2026 Fields Medal?
Ends Jul 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Current value
- $115.19
- Potential payout
- $117
- Potential profit
- $1.81
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $2.99
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $966.25
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $940.43
No position
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $559.75
Yes position
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $131.07
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $115
Yes position
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $69
Yes position
Epstein blackmail evidence released by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.86
No position
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.88
No position
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.32
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.05
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20
No position
Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.84
No position
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12
No position
Will Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11
Yes position
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.12
No position
GPT-5.5 released by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.55
No position
Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.23
No position
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.3
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.8
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5
No position
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.3
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.2
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will John Pardon win the 2026 Fields Medal?Yes 95% 7 shares
- Will John Pardon win the 2026 Fields Medal?Yes 96% 110 shares
- Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?Yes 96% 50 shares
- Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?Yes 96% 10.99 shares
- Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?Yes 96% 47 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 96.1% 252 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No 99.2% 300 shares
- Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?Yes 99.4% 479.41 shares
- Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?Yes 98.3% 15 shares
- Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?Yes 98.1% 19.41 shares
- Will SpaceX IPO on June 12, 2026?No 2.1% 629.67 shares
- Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?No 1% 290 shares