Polymarket Trader

0x7d296A03CbCA6731Ab8Ad370db01D96fEB74f36b-1770155701707

0x081f6a453831560d7d19cd2b782fe8df54e6107e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $44.81
Realized PnL: $14.02
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 2
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1.12
Potential payout: $2.24K
Potential profit: $2.24K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$3.88

Yes position

Will Sweden win on 2026-06-30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $125
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $4.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $95.5
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $2.9
Potential payout: $84.1
Potential profit: $81.2
Multiplier: 28.99x
User PnL: $0.9

Yes position

Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $3.93
Potential payout: $71.43
Potential profit: $67.5
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$1.07

Yes position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.45
Potential payout: $68.97
Potential profit: $68.52
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$1.55

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 8.8%
Current value: $4.86
Potential payout: $55.56
Potential profit: $50.69
Multiplier: 11.43x
User PnL: -$0.14

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $4.75
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $45.25
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$0.25

Yes position

Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2027

Implied probability: 5.9%
Current value: $2.54
Potential payout: $43.48
Potential profit: $40.93
Multiplier: 17.09x
User PnL: -$0.46

Yes position

Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $42.86
Potential profit: $42.86
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-07-01?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $33.33
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12%
Current value: $3.96
Potential payout: $33
Potential profit: $29.04
Multiplier: 8.33x
User PnL: -$0.66

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 17.3%
Current value: $4.61
Potential payout: $26.6
Potential profit: $21.98
Multiplier: 5.77x
User PnL: -$0.39

Yes position

Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.93
Potential profit: $25.93
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Will Trump visit North Korea by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $0.89
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $24.12
Multiplier: 28.25x
User PnL: -$1.12

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $1.67
Potential payout: $22.22
Potential profit: $20.56
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$0.33

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.39
Potential profit: $17.39
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 36.5%
Current value: $5.07
Potential payout: $13.89
Potential profit: $8.82
Multiplier: 2.74x
User PnL: $0.07

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $2.6
Potential payout: $13.33
Potential profit: $10.73
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: $0.6

Yes position

Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.76
Potential profit: $11.76
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.11
Potential profit: $11.11
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Jake Paul announce a run for public office in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11%
Current value: $0.97
Potential payout: $8.77
Potential profit: $7.81
Multiplier: 9.09x
User PnL: -$0.03

Conor McGregor position

UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.66
Potential profit: $8.66
User PnL: -$3

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Mexico position

Spread: Mexico (-1.5)

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.79

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-07-09?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.23

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will France win on 2026-07-09?

Yes 62% 3.23 shares
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 11.9% 8.4 shares
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by July 31, 2026?

Yes 2.4% 84.1 shares
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?

Yes 24% 8.33 shares
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Yes 15% 13.33 shares
James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026?

Yes 5% 100 shares
Will Trump visit North Korea by December 31?

Yes 8% 25 shares
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)

Conor McGregor 36% 2.78 shares
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?

Yes 14% 33 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 18.8% 26.6 shares
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?

Yes 23% 17.39 shares
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?

Yes 17% 11.76 shares