No position
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase November 4-10?
Ends Nov 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $505.57
- Potential profit
- $505.57
- User PnL
- -$9.05
Polymarket Trader
21M.General
0x0827ebfc3b4ed53663dedb8fb86b1d4ac754cdcf
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $85.19
- Realized PnL
- $64.16
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $166.67
- Potential profit
- $166.67
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 4, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $110
- Potential profit
- $110
- User PnL
- -$5.5
No position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 41.5%
- Current value
- $43.57
- Potential payout
- $104.99
- Potential profit
- $61.42
- Multiplier
- 2.41x
- User PnL
- -$33.87
Yes position
Will Bill Gates be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $0.56
- Potential payout
- $55.56
- Potential profit
- $55
- Multiplier
- 100.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.94
Yes position
Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 37%
- Current value
- $18.14
- Potential payout
- $49.04
- Potential profit
- $30.89
- Multiplier
- 2.70x
- User PnL
- $1.65
No position
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $48.42
- Potential profit
- $48.42
- User PnL
- -$9.1
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 3, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $38.8
- Potential profit
- $38.8
- User PnL
- -$3
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $25
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 10, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $23.45
- Potential profit
- $23.45
- User PnL
- -$2.11
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.79
- Potential profit
- $22.79
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 13, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $21.78
- Potential profit
- $21.78
- User PnL
- -$4.75
Yes position
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Current value
- $0.77
- Potential payout
- $21.74
- Potential profit
- $20.97
- Multiplier
- 28.25x
- User PnL
- -$0.23
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 32°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.01
- Potential profit
- $20.01
- User PnL
- -$4.84
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on June 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 6%
- Current value
- $1.2
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $18.8
- Multiplier
- 16.67x
- User PnL
- -$2.2
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 34°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$3.65
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$2.45
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.06
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $19.94
- Multiplier
- 333.33x
- User PnL
- -$6.09
No position
Will Vance shake hands with an Iranian official by June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $19.92
- Potential payout
- $19.99
- Potential profit
- $0.07
- User PnL
- $0.83
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.02
- Potential payout
- $19.98
- Potential profit
- $19.96
- Multiplier
- 1000.00x
- User PnL
- -$5.81
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.85
- Potential profit
- $19.85
- User PnL
- -$5.31
No position
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $0.95
- Potential payout
- $17.24
- Potential profit
- $16.29
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$4.05
Yes position
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.67
- Potential profit
- $16.67
- User PnL
- -$3
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.5
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.86
No position
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.78
No position
Will Sentient launch a token in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.69
Yes position
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.33x
- User PnL
- $6.46
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.89
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.51
No position
GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.38
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.88
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.21
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $102,000 and $104,000 on November 5?
Ends Nov 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.09
Yes position
Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 8 - 14?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.09
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.88
No position
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 1?
Ends Nov 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.71
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.7
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C on June 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- $0.7
No position
Israel strike on Yemen by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.67
No position
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.9%
- Multiplier
- 35.09x
- User PnL
- $0.58
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on November 5?
Ends Nov 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.55
No position
Another S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.54
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down on November 1?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.42
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $0.4
No position
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.34
Yes position
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 8 - 14?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.33
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on June 20?No 6.6% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C on June 21?No 64% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on June 20?Yes 26.9% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on June 20?Yes 22.1% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C on June 20?Yes 1.6% 15 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on June 22?Yes 28% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C on June 21?Yes 13% 9.99 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?No 23% 4.35 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 30°C on June 18?Yes 0.2% 9.99 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C on June 18?Yes 16% 10 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:45PM-3:50PM ETDown 58% 1.72 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on June 18?Yes 6.8% 5 shares