Polymarket Trader

avean

0x0829c639b066421c320586a30dcd4e736658f6f0

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $893.96
Realized PnL: $334.55
Win rate: 83.3%
Open positions: 3
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $485.35
Potential payout: $4.62K
Potential profit: $4.14K
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$502.59

No position

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $800
Potential profit: $800
User PnL: -$4

No position

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 92%
Current value: $408.61
Potential payout: $444.38
Potential profit: $35.77
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $271.9

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $58.68

No position

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.99

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.05

Yes position

Will the Government shutdown end October 15+?

Ends Oct 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.68

Yes position

Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.05

No position

Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?

Ends Apr 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.6

No position

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by February 28?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.99

Yes position

Epstein client list released in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $13.96

Yes position

Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.4

Yes position

Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 2.7%
Multiplier: 37.74x
User PnL: $7.94

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 42.5%
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: $7.92

Yes position

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.75

No position

Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.15

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.33

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.56

No position

Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.42

No position

Iran leadership change by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.4

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.6

Yes position

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.24

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.1

Yes position

Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 4.3%
Multiplier: 23.53x
User PnL: -$0.57

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.8

Yes position

Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.94

Yes position

Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.94

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?

No 25% 800 shares
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?

No 25% 800 shares
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?

Yes 2.3% 600 shares
Iran leadership change by April 30?

No 94% 10 shares
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?

Yes 3.7% 600 shares
Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?

No 99.9% 56 shares
Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?

No 92% 56 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET

Up 43% 5.13 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET

Up 56% 5.01 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET

Down 35% 0.67 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET

Down 35% 4.77 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET

Down 91% 1.09 shares